Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia: Five Winless
Updated
Barracas Central face Independ. Rivadavia in Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, 21 September 2026, at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia in Buenos Aires, with the home side seeking their first victory in six matches.
Barracas Central draw three straight in five-match winless run
Barracas Central enter the contest without a win in their last five league fixtures. Following consecutive home losses against Rosario Central (0-1 on 16 August 2026) and Platense (1-2 on 23 August 2026), they recorded three straight draws: 0-0 away at Tigre on 1 September 2026, 0-0 at home to Argentinos JRS on 7 September 2026, and 1-1 away at Banfield on 14 September 2026. Across their last five games with chance data, Barracas Central produced 1.13 expected goals per game and conceded 0.87. Midfielder Iván Tapia remains the club's leading scorer this season with 3 goals in all competitions.
Arce leads an active Independ. Rivadavia attack
Independ. Rivadavia enter the fixture generating higher chance volume, averaging 1.60 expected goals created and 1.26 allowed over their last five matches. Forward Alex Arce leads the attack with 9 goals in all competitions this season. Recent home matches have produced high tallies, featuring a 3-1 win over Racing Club on 31 August 2026 and a 4-3 victory against Aldosivi on 12 September 2026. Away from home, however, they have found goals harder to come by, drawing 0-0 at Independiente on 22 August 2026 before falling 0-2 at Belgrano Cordoba on 15 August 2026 and 1-3 at River Plate on 6 September 2026.
Even record across previous three encounters
The previous three meetings between the clubs produced one victory for each side and a draw. Barracas Central won the most recent match 2-1 on 12 March 2026. Prior to that, Independ. Rivadavia took a 3-0 away win on 20 July 2025, following a 0-0 draw on 29 January 2025.
Our model leans narrowly towards an Independ. Rivadavia win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards an Independ. Rivadavia win. Although Independ. Rivadavia have not won in their last three away matches, their average of 1.60 expected goals created per game and Alex Arce's form provide an edge over a Barracas Central attack that has managed only two goals in their last five games.

