Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P.: Four Home Wins
Published
Independ. Rivadavia play Gimnasia L.P. in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 3 October 2026 at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini in Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza. The home side enter Clausura Matchweek 11 holding a clean record of four victories from four home games in the competition.
Independ. Rivadavia maintain a perfect home record
Independ. Rivadavia sit third in Clausura - Group B with 17 points from 10 games. Their home return has provided the foundation for that standing: four wins from four matches, with 11 goals scored and six conceded. They come into this fixture on the back of consecutive victories, beating Aldosivi 4-3 at home on 12 September 2026 before winning 1-0 away at Barracas Central on 21 September 2026. Prior to that, they defeated Racing Club 3-1 at home on 31 August 2026. Across their last five matches with chance data, the hosts have generated 1.73 expected goals a game while conceding 1.17.
Gimnasia L.P. match their hosts on 17 points
Gimnasia L.P. sit fourth in Clausura - Group B, level with their opponents on 17 points from 10 games with an even goal difference of 15 scored and 15 conceded. The away side are unbeaten in their last four league matches. They won 2-1 away at Rosario Central on 29 August 2026 and beat Tigre 2-1 at home on 5 September 2026, before drawing 1-1 away at Argentinos Juniors on 13 September 2026 and 2-2 at home to Banfield on 19 September 2026. On their travels in this competition, they have two wins, one draw, and two defeats from five games. Marcelo Torres leads their scoring with seven goals in all competitions, while Alex Arce tops Independ. Rivadavia's scoring charts with nine goals. Previous meetings also favor the home side: Independ. Rivadavia won 3-2 away at Gimnasia L.P. on 15 March 2026 and 1-0 on 18 July 2024.
Our model expects an Independ. Rivadavia win
Our forecasting model expects an Independ. Rivadavia win with medium confidence. That call aligns with the hosts' record of four wins from four at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, alongside their two previous head-to-head victories over Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. offer resistance through their four-match unbeaten run and an underlying rate of 0.71 expected goals allowed across their last five matches, but their away record of two defeats from five tests their ability to take points in Mendoza.
