Argentinos Juniors vs Tigre

Argentinos Juniors host Tigre in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 4 October 2026 at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona in Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires, defending an unbeaten home record in Clausura Group B.

Argentinos Juniors unbeaten at home in Clausura Group B

Argentinos Juniors occupy first place in Group B with 18 points from 10 matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding nine. Their standing relies on strong home performances: three wins and one draw from four matches at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, scoring eight times and conceding three. Although they lost 1-0 away to Rosario Central on 20 September 2026, they previously drew 1-1 against Gimnasia L.P. on 13 September 2026 and beat Aldosivi 2-1 on 30 August 2026 on their own ground.

Attacker Tomás Molina leads the team with five goals in all competitions this season. Chance creation has been modest, with Argentinos Juniors averaging 0.79 expected goals created and 1.04 allowed per match across their last five fixtures with underlying data. However, their home efficiency has kept them at the top of the table.

Four Tigre players out following three straight defeats

Tigre arrive in 11th place with 12 points from 10 games, holding a neutral goal difference of nine scored and nine conceded. Their recent form shows three consecutive defeats: a 3-2 away loss against Velez Sarsfield on 21 September 2026, a 1-0 home defeat against Rosario Central on 13 September 2026, and a 2-1 loss away to Gimnasia L.P. on 5 September 2026. On the road in this competition, Tigre have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses from five matches.

The visitors must also manage four confirmed absences due to injury: Joaquín Laso, Nicolás Dubersarsky, Ramón Arias, and Simón Rivero are all unavailable. While Tigre generate threat through top scorer Ignacio Russo, who has scored eight goals across all competitions, their defensive record remains vulnerable. Over their last five games with underlying metrics, Tigre allowed 1.72 expected goals per game while generating 1.47.

Our model expects an Argentinos Juniors win

Our forecasting model expects an Argentinos Juniors win in this encounter. This projection reflects Argentinos Juniors taking 10 points from a possible 12 at home, contrasted with Tigre's three straight defeats in the competition and their list of four injured defensive players.