Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys: Level on 17 Points
Published
Gimnasia M. host Newells Old Boys in Liga Profesional Argentina Clausura Matchweek 12 on Monday, 12 October 2026, at Victor Legrotaglie in Mendoza, with both sides tied on 17 points from 11 matches.
Five Newell's Old Boys injuries test defensive form
Newells Old Boys enter the fixture unbeaten across their last five matches, recording four draws and a 1-0 away victory over Platense on 20 September 2026. However, the visitors travel without five injured players: Gabriel Arias, Lautaro Giannetti, Marcelo Esponda, Mateo García, and Nicolás Goitea. Despite those personnel losses, Newells Old Boys have maintained defensive structure, conceding 0.78 expected goals a game over their last five matches with recorded chance data. They held Lanus to a 0-0 draw on 3 October 2026 and Estudiantes L.P. to 0-0 on 31 August 2026. Top scorer Juan Ignacio Ramírez leads their attack with four goals in all competitions, though the team has scored only three times in five away league fixtures.
Gimnasia M. defend an unbeaten home record
Gimnasia M. have earned three wins and two draws from five league games at Victor Legrotaglie, scoring eight goals and allowing three. Their broader form has stalled over a four-match winless sequence that includes a 3-0 defeat away to Estudiantes L.P. on 5 October 2026 and a 0-0 draw against Deportivo Riestra on 19 September 2026. The home side must adjust for three absentees, with Ignacio Sabatini suspended while Franco Saavedra and Imanol González remain sidelined through injury. Leading goalscorer Agustín Modica, who has scored 12 goals in all competitions this season, leads the line against an opponent who defeated Gimnasia M. 1-0 in their previous meeting on 21 March 2026.
Our model leans towards a Gimnasia M. win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Gimnasia M. win. That low-confidence call reflects Gimnasia M.'s five-match unbeaten home record in the Clausura, having conceded just three goals in five outings in Mendoza. Furthermore, Newells Old Boys have won only once in five away fixtures in the competition and must manage five confirmed absences. The call remains cautious because Newells Old Boys are on a five-match unbeaten run, have conceded only eight goals across 11 league matches, and kept a clean sheet against Gimnasia M. earlier this year.

