Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.: Nine Players Out
Published
Estudiantes L.P. face Gimnasia M. in Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 5 October 2026 at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi in La Plata, with nine players ruled out across both squads. The home side enter Clausura Matchweek 11 sitting 11th in Group A with 10 points, while Gimnasia M. sit fifth with 17 points.
Estudiantes L.P. miss four players amid strong home record
Estudiantes L.P. have won three, drawn one, and lost one of their five home matches in the Clausura, scoring nine goals and conceding three. However, they enter this fixture missing four players through injury: Gabriel Neves, Jalil Elías, Joaquín Correa, and Tiago Palacios. Their form has stumbled recently, with three defeats in their last five fixtures, including a 1-2 loss away at Lanus on 22 September 2026 and a 0-2 loss at Sarmiento Junin on 23 August 2026. Alexis Castro leads their scoring charts with four goals in all competitions, while the side creates 1.36 expected goals and allows 1.29 across their last five recorded outings.
Agustín Modica leads Gimnasia M. despite five absences
Gimnasia M. arrive with 12-goal top scorer Agustín Modica leading their attack, yet they also contend with depleted ranks. Facundo Lencioni, Franco Saavedra, Imanol González, and Tomás O'Connor are sidelined through injury, while Ignacio Sabatini is serving a suspension. The visitors have collected two wins and three defeats from five away matches in the Clausura, scoring six goals and conceding six. They shared a 0-0 draw at home against Deportivo Riestra on 19 September 2026 after a 0-2 defeat at Defensa y Justicia on 11 September 2026, though they produced a 3-0 away win at Independiente on 30 August 2026. Gimnasia M. average 0.86 expected goals created and 0.80 allowed over their last five matches.
Estudiantes L.P. won the previous encounter 2-1
The previous meeting between the two sides came on 18 March 2026, when Estudiantes L.P. claimed a 2-1 away victory over Gimnasia M. That result gives the hosts a direct precedent as both sides compete in Clausura Matchweek 11.
Our model expects an Estudiantes L.P. win
Our forecasting model expects an Estudiantes L.P. win. Estudiantes L.P. hold a solid home record in the Clausura with three wins from five matches and just three goals conceded at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, while Gimnasia M. have lost three of their five league away trips. Although Gimnasia M. sit fifth in Group A with 17 points and boast Agustín Modica's 12 goals, their five absences and lower chance creation of 0.86 expected goals per match support the forecast.
