San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra

San Lorenzo play Deportivo Riestra in Clausura Matchweek 12 of the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín in Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires, with both sides tied on 11 points in Group A. The home side enter the match under heavy squad strain, missing eight players through injuries and suspension.

San Lorenzo miss eight players through injury and suspension

San Lorenzo must reconfigure their starting selection because eight squad members are unavailable. Manuel Insaurralde is out through suspension, while Cristian Nahuel Barrios, Daniel Herrera, Ezequiel Cerutti, Gastón Hernández, Gonzalo Abrego, Martín Río, and Nicolás Blanco are all ruled out by injury. These absences follow back-to-back league losses for San Lorenzo, who fell 2-0 at home to Boca Juniors on 20 September and 3-0 away to Defensa y Justicia on 3 October. In Clausura - Group A, San Lorenzo occupy 12th place out of 15 with 11 points from 11 matches, having scored four goals and conceded 11. Leading scorer Rodrigo Auzmendi, who has six goals in all competitions this season, leads their forward line.

Deportivo Riestra remain winless away from home

Deportivo Riestra sit 11th in Clausura - Group A with 11 points from 11 matches, having scored nine and conceded 11. While the visitors report zero absences, they have not won on the road in the Clausura, posting zero wins, three draws, and two losses across five away fixtures with only two goals scored. Deportivo Riestra have drawn four of their last five matches in the competition, including a 0-0 draw away at Gimnasia M. on 19 September and a 1-1 draw against Central Cordoba de Santiago on 5 October. Forward Antony Alonso is their top scorer this season with four goals in all competitions.

Both attacks average under 0.70 expected goals

Chance creation has been limited for both clubs. Across their last five matches with chance data, San Lorenzo generated 0.66 expected goals per game while allowing 1.72. Deportivo Riestra created 0.69 expected goals per game and conceded 0.82 over the same period. Recent head-to-head fixtures have mirrored that pattern: Deportivo Riestra and San Lorenzo drew 1-1 on 25 March 2026, San Lorenzo won 1-0 on 31 October 2025, and the sides drew 0-0 on 20 April 2025.

Our model leans narrowly towards a San Lorenzo win

Our model leans narrowly towards a San Lorenzo win, presenting a low-confidence call. Although San Lorenzo have lost three of their last five matches and must cope with eight missing players, their home record in the Clausura stands at three wins and two defeats from five games. That record contrasts with Deportivo Riestra's winless return on their travels, even though the visitors' defensive average of 0.82 expected goals conceded per game keeps margins narrow.