Torino vs Udinese: Four Absentees for Visitors
Published
Torino host Udinese in Serie A on Monday 12 October 2026 at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Torino, with both clubs sitting on four points from their opening five fixtures.
Udinese arrive with three straight losses and four injuries
Udinese enter Matchweek 6 in 14th place having lost three consecutive matches in Serie A. That sequence began with a 2-1 home defeat against Lazio on 7 September, followed by a 5-3 loss away to Inter on 14 September, and a 1-0 home reverse against Cagliari on 19 September. Across their five games, Udinese have conceded 11 goals while scoring eight.
Absences compound their recent slide. Idrissa Gueye, Jakub Piotrowski, Juan Arizala, and Nicolò Zaniolo are all ruled out through injury. Udinese rely on joint top scorer Jürgen Ekkelenkamp, who has scored two goals in all competitions this season, but their defensive underlying numbers remain an issue. Over their last five games with chance data, Udinese have allowed an average of 1.83 expected goals per match while creating 1.31.
Torino seek first home points of the season
Torino sit 15th in the table, separated from Udinese only by goal difference. While Torino earned points on the road—beating Fiorentina 2-1 on 5 September and drawing 1-1 at Bologna on 19 September—they have lost both of their home games this season. They fell 2-1 to AC Milan on 23 August and lost 2-0 to AS Roma on 14 September, scoring just one goal and conceding four across those two fixtures.
Torino's attack is led by Che Adams, who has two goals in all competitions. Forward Pietro Pellegri is unavailable due to injury. Chance generation has been limited for the home side, with Torino averaging 0.87 expected goals created and 1.38 allowed per game across their last five matches.
Our model leans narrowly towards a Torino win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Torino win. Head-to-head history gives Udinese reason for optimism, as they won both previous encounters in 2026: a 2-1 win in Torino on 7 January and a 2-0 victory on 2 May. However, Udinese's run of three consecutive league defeats, combined with four confirmed absences and a defence allowing 1.83 expected goals per game, tilts the call towards the home side.
