Nice vs Strasbourg: Nice Unbeaten at Allianz Riviera
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Nice host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at the Allianz Riviera, where the home side defend an unbeaten record having conceded only two goals in three matches.
Nice remain unbeaten at Allianz Riviera
Nice enter Matchweek 6 in 15th place with five points from five matches. All five points have come on their home ground, where they have one win and two draws. Their last home outing delivered a 2-1 victory over Lille on 20 September 2026, which followed a 1-1 draw against Le Mans on 5 September and a 0-0 draw with Lorient on 22 August. On the road, Nice lost 1-0 at Auxerre on 12 September and 3-0 at Paris FC on 30 August. They have managed three goals in five league outings while allowing 1.64 expected goals per game over their last five matches.
Strasbourg concede eight goals in three away trips
Strasbourg sit ninth in the table with seven points from five games, showing contrasting defensive displays across venues. While they defeated Lens 2-1 on 29 August and drew 1-1 with Monaco on 12 September at home, their travels have been open. They suffered a 4-0 defeat at Marseille on 21 August and a 2-1 loss at Paris FC on 19 September, balanced only by a 6-2 victory at Estac Troyes on 6 September. In total, Strasbourg have conceded eight goals across three away trips. They allow 1.90 expected goals per game, though Samuel Amo-Ameyaw provides an outlet with two goals this season.
Four squad absences for Nice
Nice must configure their side without four injured players: Antoine Mendy, Laurent Abergel, Morgan Sanson, and Moïse Bombito. Strasbourg also have absentees, with Ismaël Doukouré, Joaquín Panichelli, and Martial Godo ruled out through injury, while midfielder Maxi Oyedele remains doubtful.
Our model leans narrowly towards a Nice win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Nice win. The call aligns with Nice's steady baseline at the Allianz Riviera and Strasbourg's defensive frailty away from home, where they have lost twice in three outings. The low confidence reflects Nice's modest scoring rate of three goals this season and Strasbourg's recent 3-1 win in the previous meeting on 4 April 2026.

