

Netherlands and Morocco arrive in Monterrey for a Round of 32 clash with identical smooth group-stage records, both going unbeaten on seven points. The Dutch have been far more explosive, averaging 3.3 goals per game with 10 scored in three matches, though they’ve yet to keep a clean sheet. Morocco have built their progress on defensive resilience — only three conceded and a marginally superior underlying xG against figure of 0.76 per game. Expect a fascinating contrast between the Netherlands’ stacked, high-tempo attack and Morocco’s compact, counter-attacking block. The only prior meeting, a 2-1 friendly win for Morocco, hints this fixture will be tightly contested, with individual brilliance from the Dutch forward line likely making the difference.
Netherlands have scored freely (3.3 goals per game) and possess a deeper pool of game-breaking attackers, while Morocco concede more chances on the road. The attacking depth should prove decisive against a solid but less dynamic Moroccan side.
The Netherlands have not kept a clean sheet in the tournament and Morocco have scored in every group game. Both teams' xG profiles suggest attacking threat at both ends.
The Netherlands alone are averaging over three goals scored per game. With both sides finding the net consistently and the Dutch defense conceding in every outing, an open contest is likely.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
Also in Round of 32
Netherlands
0.24xG
6 shots · 2 on target
Morocco
1.38xG
11 shots · 5 on target
Issa DiopGoal
90+1' · Morocco
Key Moments
Netherlands
GK · 120'
FWD · 120' · 1 assist · 3 key passes
Netherlands 1W · 0D · Morocco 0W
FWD · 49' · 1 key pass
DEF · 120' · 1 key pass
DEF · 120'
Morocco
DEF · 120'
DEF · 120' · 1 goal · 1 shot (1 on target)
MID · 120' · 1 key pass · 1 shot (1 on target)
MID · 86' · 3 key passes · 1 shot
MID · 79' · 2 shots
Netherlands
Coach: Ronald Koeman
Morocco
Coach: Mohamed Ouahbi
| 3 |
| -6 |
| 0 |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | -10 | 0 |