Germany vs Paraguay

Germany arrive in Boston with serious attacking momentum, having scored ten goals across their three group-stage matches — the seven-goal demolition in their biggest win underlining the firepower at their disposal. Paraguay scraped through with two clean sheets but only two goals scored, and their underlying numbers are concerning: a rolling xG of just 0.43 per game against an xG conceded of 1.76. The key battle is Germany's relentless final-third rotations, led by Wirtz, Musiala and Undav, against a Paraguayan backline that has defended deep but will be tested like never before here. With Brown and Schlotterbeck missing, Germany's defensive structure has a slight vulnerability, but Paraguay's lack of creative threat — and the suspension of D. Gómez — makes it difficult to see them troubling Neuer consistently.