

England enter the Round of 32 as group winners with a solid defensive record, conceding just twice in three games and keeping two clean sheets. Congo DR scrapped through in third place, failing to keep a single clean sheet themselves, and their attack will find it much tougher against an elite opponent. England's dominant xG difference (2.145 for, 0.64 against) highlights their control of games, while Congo DR's modest 1.19 xG per match suggests creating clear chances will be a struggle. With Harry Kane leading the line and a creative midfield behind him, England have the firepower to put this tie to bed inside 90 minutes against a Congo DR side that lost their only group game away from home.
England's superior squad depth, two clean sheets, and better xG performance point to a straightforward win against a Congo DR team that has yet to keep a clean sheet in the tournament.
England's defence has been resolute, conceding just two goals in three group matches, and Congo DR failed to score in their away group game while facing a much stronger backline here.
England scored six goals in three group games and face a Congo DR side that conceded in every group match, suggesting England will net multiple times on their own.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
Also in Round of 32
England
2.16xG
16 shots · 7 on target
Congo DR
0.77xG
7 shots · 2 on target
Harry KaneGoal
75' · England
Key Moments
England
FWD · 90' · 2 goals · 1 key pass · 4 shots (3 on target)
MID · 61' · 3 key passes
MID · 90' · 3 key passes · 1 shot
DEF · 90'
MID · 89' · 2 key passes
Congo DR
DEF · 90'
GK · 90'
DEF · 90' · 1 assist · 1 key pass
MID · 89'
FWD · 76' · 1 goal · 1 key pass · 2 shots (1 on target)
England
Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Congo DR
Coach: Sebastien Desabre
England
Hamstring Injury
Sprained Ankle
Congo DR
No team news reported