USA vs Belgium — AI Match Prediction & Analysis

USAUSA

M. Tillman 31'

World Cup

1–4

Full Time

HT 1–2

Lumen Field

Seattle, Washington

BelgiumBEL

C. De Ketelaere 9', 33'
H. Vanaken 57'
R. Lukaku 90+3'

AI ForecastsGraded

Match of the day · free full analysis

USA have defied expectations to top Group D, powered by an explosive attack that scored eight goals, but the suspension of Folarin Balogun strips them of their focal point. Belgium’s midfield quality, led by Kevin De Bruyne and Youri Tielemans, should dominate possession and unpick a disciplined American backline that has conceded just 0.38 xG per game. The last meeting, a 5-2 Belgium win in March, exposed defensive frailties that the Americans will struggle to mask without the injured Mark McKenzie. Expect the Red Devils’ superior chance creation to prevail in a match where both teams find the net.

Match ResultAway Win

Belgium have won both previous head-to-head meetings and arrive with a significantly higher rolling xG (2.14 vs 1.14), while the USA are missing key striker Balogun and defender McKenzie.

Both Teams ScoreYes

The USA have scored in all three group games and Belgium conceded in two of their three matches, with both teams showing sufficient attacking intent despite the Americans' defensive record.

Total Goals3 or more goals

Both sides' group-stage matches averaged more than 2.5 goals, and Belgium's high xG creation (2.14 per game) combined with the USA's ability to score points to an open knockout tie.

High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

Match Stats

Top Stats

0.63xG2.01

56%Possession44%

7 (2)Shots (on target)15 (7)

0Big Chances Created4

Attacking Play

0.22xG on Target3.51

Possession & Passing

527 · 87%Passes (accuracy)410 · 81%

3Corners5

Duels & Pressing

52Duels Won55

12 (50%)Aerial Duels Won12 (50%)

Defending & Discipline

3Saves1

11Fouls9

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	4	6
2	Australia	3	0	4
3	Paraguay	3	-2	4
4	Türkiye	3	-2	3
1	Belgium	3	4	5
2	Egypt	3	2	5
3	Iran	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-6	1

Match Stats

Shot Map

Match Events

Player Ratings

Lineups

Head to Head

More football

Match Stats

Shot Map

Match Events

Player Ratings

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Head to Head

Season Form

Squad Availability

Standings

Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.

Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.

Match Events

Player RatingsPerformance rating out of 10 from the match data feed, covering every action a player took. The 5 best-rated from each side are shown; the star marks the highest rated on the pitch.

Lineups

Head to Head

More football

Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.

Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.

Match Events

Player RatingsPerformance rating out of 10 from the match data feed, covering every action a player took. The 5 best-rated from each side are shown; the star marks the highest rated on the pitch.

Lineups

Head to Head

Season Form

Squad Availability

Standings

Match Stats

Shot Map

Player Ratings

Match Stats

Shot Map

Player Ratings