Tenerife vs Cadiz: Cadiz on Three Straight Defeats
Published
Tenerife face Cadiz in Segunda División matchweek 7 on Saturday 26 September 2026 at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz in Santa Cruz de Tenerife (Tenerife), with the visitors searching for their first league victory of the campaign.
Cadiz enter on a three-match losing run
Cadiz sit 19th in the Segunda table with three points from six matches after suffering three consecutive defeats. Following a 2-2 draw at Eldense on 22 August and a 1-1 home draw against Valladolid on 30 August, Cadiz lost 3-2 away at Almeria on 6 September, 1-0 at home to Las Palmas on 12 September, and 2-1 at home to Girona on 19 September. Across their two away matches in the division, they have drawn one and lost one, conceding five goals and scoring four. Over their last five matches with chance data, Cadiz have created 0.99 expected goals a game while conceding 1.34.
Tenerife rely on home form and Gallego
Tenerife sit 11th in the table with 10 points and a goal difference of -1 after six matches. They arrive following a 5-0 defeat away at Castellón on 19 September, but their record at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz has produced two wins from three fixtures. Tenerife beat Almeria 1-0 on 23 August and Leganes 2-0 on 13 September, suffering only a 1-0 loss to Sporting Gijon on 28 August. Enric Gallego leads their scoring with four goals across all competitions this season. Across their last five matches with chance data, Tenerife have generated 0.90 expected goals per game while allowing 1.15. Tenerife also won the last meeting between the sides, taking a 2-1 victory on 23 March 2025 after a 2-2 draw on 31 August 2024.
Our model expects a Tenerife win
Our forecasting model expects a Tenerife win with medium confidence. Cadiz have failed to win any of their six league fixtures this season, allowing nine goals in that span. While Tenerife must recover from the five goals conceded at Castellón, their return to Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz offers firmer ground, having conceded just one goal across three home matches so far.

