Mallorca vs Almeria: Zero Goals Conceded at Home
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Mallorca host Almeria in the Segunda División on Sunday 27 September 2026 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in Palma de Mallorca. The home side enter the contest having won all three of their home league fixtures this season without conceding a single goal.
Mallorca boast four consecutive clean sheets
Mallorca sit fourth in the Segunda División table with 13 points from six matches, having scored eight goals and conceded just two. That defensive strength is visible in their recent results: after a 2-0 defeat away at Granada CF on 24 August, they went four matches without conceding. They defeated AD Ceuta FC 3-0 on 30 August, drew 0-0 away at Eldense on 5 September, beat Sabadell 2-0 on 13 September, and earned a 1-0 away win against Real Sociedad II on 19 September.
At Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Mallorca have taken maximum points from three league games, scoring seven times and allowing zero. Fuentes leads their attack with four goals across all competitions this season. Chance data reflects their control at both ends of the pitch, with Mallorca generating 1.59 expected goals per game over their last five matches while allowing 0.72.
Almeria arrive on a three-match winning run
Almeria sit one spot and one point behind Mallorca in fifth place, holding 12 points and a goal difference of plus six. They have won three straight league matches: a 3-2 victory over Cadiz on 6 September, a 2-0 win away at Cordoba on 12 September, and a 2-0 home win against Celta de Vigo II on 20 September. Javi Muñoz leads the squad in scoring with two goals in all competitions.
Despite their current winning sequence, Almeria lost their first two away fixtures of the campaign, falling 1-0 at Tenerife on 23 August and 1-0 at Sabadell on 29 August. Across their last five matches, they have averaged 1.19 expected goals created and 1.25 allowed per game.
Our model expects a Mallorca win
Our model expects a Mallorca win, giving medium confidence to the home side. That projection aligns with Mallorca's flawless home record of three wins from three with no goals conceded, alongside their defensive metric of allowing just 0.72 expected goals per game. While Almeria enter on three consecutive victories, their overall away record of two defeats from three matches gives Mallorca the advantage.
