Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell: Sabadell Seek Away Goal
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Celta de Vigo II face Sabadell in Segunda División on Saturday 26 September 2026 at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro in Vigo, with the hosts looking to end a run of two straight defeats without scoring.
Sabadell have yet to score away from home
Sabadell sit sixth in the Segunda División table with 11 points from their opening six fixtures, but their results have leaned heavily on home fixtures. Across three away matches in the competition, they have recorded two draws and one defeat without scoring a single goal, including a 0-0 draw at Castellón on 23 August and a 0-2 loss at Mallorca on 13 September. Their attack has produced stronger numbers on chance creation, averaging 1.99 expected goals across their last five matches while allowing 1.34. Nicholas Gioacchini leads their scoring with three goals in all competitions, having helped them to a 3-1 home victory over Oviedo on 20 September.
Celta de Vigo II have conceded six without reply
The home side sit 15th in the table with seven points from six games, having conceded 10 goals while scoring seven. Celta de Vigo II enter this match after back-to-back defeats: a 0-4 home loss against Eibar on 14 September, followed by a 0-2 defeat away to Almeria on 20 September. At Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, they have won once and lost twice in three league games, conceding eight times and scoring five. Their chance metrics show an average of 1.69 expected goals created and 1.77 conceded over their last five games. Álvaro Marín remains their primary scoring threat with two goals this season across all competitions.
Our model leans narrowly towards a Sabadell win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Sabadell win. Sabadell hold the stronger position in the table with 11 points to Celta de Vigo II's seven, alongside a superior chance quality balance of 1.99 expected goals created to 1.34 allowed. However, Sabadell's total absence of away goals across three trips, paired with Celta de Vigo II taking seven points from their opening six games, keeps the confidence level low.
