USA arrive in the Round of 32 as Group D winners with momentum, having scored eight goals in three games and riding a two-match winning streak. Bosnia & Herzegovina, meanwhile, scraped through with four points from Group B and have looked vulnerable defensively, conceding in every group match and facing an average expected goals against of 1.34 per game. The Americans’ superior firepower and an xG for of 1.25 per game suggest they can dictate this tie, though Bosnia carry threats in veteran striker Edin Dzeko and Haris Tabakovic. The key battle will be the US pressing game against a Bosnia backline that has yet to keep a clean sheet, and if Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun find early rhythm, this could turn into a comfortable afternoon for the Stars and Stripes.
USA have won their last two while scoring eight goals, whereas Bosnia have conceded six in three group games and failed to keep a clean sheet. The US hold a clear edge in form, goal threat, and underlying xG data.
The US have recorded one clean sheet already, and Bosnia’s attack is unlikely to overwhelm a solid American block. Combined with the US's multi-goal threat shown against weaker sides, a 2-0 result reflects the likely balance of play.
Five of the six combined group games involving these teams produced at least three goals, with the USA’s matches averaging four goals per game. Bosnia’s inability to shut teams out invites another open contest.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
Also in Round of 32
USA
0.88xG
8 shots · 2 on target
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0.25xG
10 shots · 3 on target
Folarin BalogunGoal
45' · USA
Key Moments
USA
MID · 90' · 1 goal · 1 key pass · 1 shot (1 on target)
DEF · 90' · 1 shot
24
USA 1W · 1D · Bosnia & Herzegovina 0W
DEF · 90'
MID · 89' · 1 key pass
DEF · 90' · 1 key pass
Bosnia & Herzegovina
MID · 51'
DEF · 90' · 1 key pass
MID · 39' · 1 key pass
DEF · 90' · 1 key pass
DEF · 90'
13
3
16
4
17
10
8
2
20USA
Coach: Mauricio Pochettino
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Coach: Sergej Barbarez
USA
Bruised Foot
Muscle Bruise
Bosnia & Herzegovina
No team news reported
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 |  Canada | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Qatar | 3 | -8 | 1 |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Australia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Paraguay | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 3 | -2 | 3 |
