Eyüpspor vs Göztepe: Bottom Two Tied on Three Points
Published
Eyüpspor host Göztepe in the Süper Lig on Monday, 12 October 2026, at Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi in Istanbul, with both teams locked on three points at the bottom of the table.
Eyüpspor have conceded 13 goals without reply in three matches
Eyüpspor enter Matchweek 7 in 18th place after collecting three points from their opening six league matches. The Istanbul side sit at the base of the division with a goal difference of minus 14, having scored twice and conceded 16 times. Since recording a 2-1 home victory over Alanyaspor on 30 August 2026, Eyüpspor have lost three consecutive fixtures without scoring: a 3-0 defeat at Çorum FK on 6 September, a 2-0 home loss against Rizespor on 12 September, and an 8-0 defeat away to Fenerbahçe on 20 September. In their last five matches with chance data recorded, Eyüpspor generated an average of 0.94 expected goals per game while allowing 2.21. Midfielder Abdelhamid Sabiri is doubtful with an injury.
Göztepe generate 2.12 expected goals but carry six doubtful players
Göztepe sit in 17th position with three points from six games, recording three draws and three defeats. Although winless in the league, the visitors have scored 11 goals in six matches. Forward Juan Santos da Silva leads the team with four goals in all competitions this season. Göztepe have scored twice in each of their last four league matches, drawing 2-2 at Alanyaspor on 12 September and 2-2 at home against Rizespor on 20 September. In their last five games with chance data, Göztepe produced 2.12 expected goals per match and allowed 1.75. However, six players are doubtful through injury: Allan Godói, Furkan Bayır, Gökdeniz Bayrakdar, Ibrahim Sabra, Nevzat Üzel, and Noah Sonko Sundberg.
Three straight draws in head-to-head history
Recent meetings between Eyüpspor and Göztepe have produced few goals. The last two encounters ended goalless, finishing 0-0 on 28 February 2026 and 0-0 on 27 September 2025. Prior to that, the sides drew 1-1 on 16 March 2025 following a 1-0 win for Eyüpspor on 19 October 2024. Neither club has scored more than once in any of their last four head-to-head fixtures.
Our model expects a Göztepe win
Our model expects a Göztepe win, assigning medium confidence to the away side. Göztepe generate 2.12 expected goals per game compared to Eyüpspor's 0.94, while Eyüpspor arrive following three straight defeats in which they conceded 13 goals and failed to score. Complicating that outlook are Göztepe's six doubtful injury concerns, an away record of two draws and one loss from three matches, and three consecutive draws between the clubs.
