Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa: Visitors Lose Top Scorer

GalatasarayGAL

Abdülkerim Bardakci 45'
Barış Alper Yılmaz 90'
Mario Lemina 90+6'
Sent off:Lucas Torreira 65'

Süper Lig

3–1

Full Time

HT 1–0

RAMS Park

İstanbul

KasımpaşaKAS

Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 68'

AI ForecastsGraded

Match of the day · free full analysis

Galatasaray host Kasımpaşa as the clear class side in the division, with four wins in their last five league outings and a front line led by Victor Osimhen, who has six goals in four appearances. Kasımpaşa are unbeaten in six and hard to beat, but they sit deep, create little and will be without their top scorer Adrian Benedyczak. Galatasaray have been far more dangerous in recent weeks, though they have conceded regularly and Roland Sallai is a doubt. The key question is whether Kasımpaşa's compact 4-2-3-1 can hold out against sustained home pressure, since the visitors have scored late in matches and always carry a threat on the break.

Match ResultHome Win76%

Galatasaray were the strongest side in the league last season and have kept that form, creating far more shots and better chances than a Kasımpaşa side that averages under one expected goal per game. Home advantage and the visitors' missing top scorer reinforce the favourites.

Win or DrawHome or Draw91%

Kasımpaşa have drawn often and are unbeaten in six, so they can frustrate the hosts. Even so, Galatasaray's attacking depth makes avoiding defeat the more natural outcome for the home side.

Total Goals3 or more goals65%

Eight of Galatasaray's last ten matches went past 2.5 goals, and the league as a whole is above that mark in over half its games. Their defence also leaks, so the total should clear 2.5, though Kasımpaşa's low-scoring habits keep it closer than the form suggests.

High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls.

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa: Visitors Lose Top Scorer

Published Thu 8 Oct

Galatasaray face Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig on Friday, 9 October 2026 at RAMS Park in İstanbul, with the visiting side travelling without their top goalscorer.

Kasımpaşa travel without four-goal Benedyczak

Kasımpaşa sit eighth in the Süper Lig with 10 points from six matches and remain unbeaten away from home, winning twice and drawing once on their travels. However, their frontline is missing Adrian Benedyczak, who is ruled out through injury. The forward leads the club with four goals across all competitions this season. Kamil Cörekci is also sidelined by injury, while Mortadha Ben Ouanes is doubtful. Those absences weaken an attack that has averaged 0.94 expected goals created per game over their last five matches with chance data, while allowing 1.01 at the other end.

Galatasaray reshuffle after Trabzonspor defeat

Galatasaray enter the fixture second in the Süper Lig with 13 points from six matches, having scored 13 goals and conceded 10. Their last outing ended in a 4-0 defeat away at Trabzonspor on 19 September 2026, preceded by a 1-0 home victory against Kocaelispor and a 3-1 Champions League defeat at Sporting CP. At RAMS Park, Galatasaray have recorded two wins and one draw in the league this season, scoring six goals and conceding four. Okan Buruk and Lesley Ugochukwu are both unavailable due to suspension, while Mario Lemina, Roland Sallai, and Wilfried Singo are doubtful through injury. Top scorer Victor Osimhen leads the squad with six goals in all competitions, spearheading an attack generating 1.89 expected goals per game.

High-scoring history between the two clubs

Recent meetings between the two sides have produced plenty of scoring. The five head-to-head fixtures across 2024, 2025, and 2026 delivered 20 goals, featuring consecutive 3-3 draws in September 2024 and March 2025, alongside a 4-3 Galatasaray victory in March 2024 and a 3-0 Galatasaray win in December 2025. Kasımpaşa edged the most recent encounter, earning a 1-0 victory on 17 May 2026.

Our model firmly expects a Galatasaray win

Our model firmly expects a Galatasaray win. Although Kasımpaşa have taken seven points from nine on the road, the absence of Adrian Benedyczak removes their primary route to goal against a Galatasaray side creating nearly twice as many expected goals per match. Even with the suspensions of Okan Buruk and Lesley Ugochukwu, Galatasaray's superior attacking numbers at RAMS Park support the home call.

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	16
9	Kasımpaşa	7	0	10

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