Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK: Visitors Winless Away
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Alanyaspor face Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig on Saturday, 10 October 2026, at Alanya Oba Stadium in Alanya, where the visitors arrive without a win away from home this season.
Erzurumspor FK struggle on their travels
The visitors sit 14th in the Süper Lig with 7 points from 6 games, heavily burdened by a goal difference of -8 after scoring 3 and conceding 11. On the road, Erzurumspor FK have taken 1 point from 3 matches, scoring 1 goal and conceding 7. Their away results include a 1-1 draw at Gençlerbirliği S.K. on 28 August 2026 and a 0-3 loss away at Beşiktaş on 11 September 2026. While they beat Samsunspor 1-0 at home on 20 September 2026, chance creation remains low. Across their last 5 fixtures with chance data, Erzurumspor FK have produced 0.75 expected goals per match while conceding 1.51, with Eren Tozlu leading their scoring on 2 goals in all competitions.
Alanyaspor maintain unbeaten home start
Alanyaspor enter Matchweek 7 in 5th place with 11 points from 6 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6. At Alanya Oba Stadium, they remain unbeaten in league action with 1 win and 1 draw, scoring 3 goals and conceding 2. That run includes a 1-0 victory over Beşiktaş on 23 August 2026 and a 2-2 draw with Göztepe on 12 September 2026. Most recently, they secured a 2-1 away victory against Çorum FK on 19 September 2026, having also won 1-0 away at Rizespor on 7 September 2026. Gaius Makouta is their top scorer with 2 goals across all competitions, though midfielder Maestro is doubtful because of an injury. Alanyaspor have generated 1.19 expected goals per game while allowing 1.24 over their last 5 matches.
Our model expects an Alanyaspor win
Our model expects an Alanyaspor win in this Matchweek 7 fixture. Erzurumspor FK have scored only 1 goal across 3 away matches and generate just 0.75 expected goals per match. Alanyaspor have collected 11 points from 6 games and remain undefeated at Alanya Oba Stadium. While Alanyaspor concede an average of 1.24 expected goals per game and could miss Maestro in midfield, Erzurumspor FK have conceded 7 goals in their 3 road fixtures.
