Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor

Samsunspor host Trabzonspor in Süper Lig Matchweek 7 on Saturday, 10 October 2026, at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu in Samsun, with the home side having lost each of their last four matches.

Samsunspor enter on four straight defeats

Samsunspor sit 16th in the Süper Lig table with four points from six matches, recording a goal difference of minus six after scoring six goals and conceding 12. Their current losing run began on 30 August 2026 with a 2-0 home loss to Fenerbahçe, followed by a 1-0 defeat at Kocaelispor on 6 September, a 5-1 home loss against Çorum FK on 12 September, and a 1-0 away defeat to Erzurumspor FK on 20 September.

At home in this competition, Samsunspor have registered zero wins, one draw, and two defeats from three games, scoring four goals and allowing 10. Across their last five fixtures with chance metrics, they have created an average of 0.76 expected goals per game while allowing 1.41. Oskar Öhlenschlaeger is ruled out with an injury, while Afonso Sousa, Elayis Tavşan, Fatih Kaya, and Kouadou Assoumou are all listed as doubtful.

Trabzonspor struggle away despite Salah's seven goals

Trabzonspor occupy seventh place in the league table with 10 points from six matches, having scored 13 goals and conceded five. In their most recent league outing on 19 September 2026, they beat Galatasaray 4-0 at home, helped by a hat trick from Mohamed Salah. Salah leads Trabzonspor with seven goals across all competitions this season.

Away form shows a stark contrast to their home results. Trabzonspor have not won an away league game this season, recording zero wins, one draw, and two defeats from three matches with two goals scored and four conceded. Their recent road fixtures include a 4-0 defeat at Ferencvarosi TC on 27 August, a 2-1 loss at Amed on 31 August, and a 1-0 loss at Konyaspor on 12 September. Across their last five matches with chance data, Trabzonspor created 1.52 expected goals a game while allowing 1.76.

Eight Trabzonspor players carry fitness concerns

Trabzonspor head to Samsun with multiple personnel issues. Four players are ruled out through injury: Mehmet Umut Nayir, Onuralp Çevikkan, Ruslan Malinovsky, and Tim Jabol-Folcarelli. Furthermore, Aral Şimşir, Ernest Muçi, Okay Yokuşlu, and Stefan Savić are all doubtful through injury.

The past meetings between the clubs show competitive encounters. Trabzonspor won the last clash 3-0 on 7 February 2026. Prior to that, the sides drew 1-1 on 31 August 2025 and 2-2 on 25 May 2025, following earlier Samsunspor wins of 2-1 on 4 January 2025 and 3-1 on 4 May 2024.

Our model expects a Trabzonspor win

Our forecasting model expects a Trabzonspor win, giving medium confidence to that outcome. Although Trabzonspor have yet to record an away victory in the league and allow 1.76 expected goals per match, Samsunspor's four-match losing streak and low attacking return of 0.76 expected goals created per game support the forecast.