Süper Lig Matchweek 7 delivered convincing scorelines for the traditional powers, as Galatasaray, Fenerbahçe, and Beşiktaş all secured three points, while league leaders Amed were held in a four-goal thriller. Across nine fixtures, our analytical model had a productive round, correctly projecting six match outcomes and eight total goals calls, though our reads on both teams finding the net proved unreliable.
How our forecasts did
The both teams to score category struggled badly across the weekend. Only three of the nine calls landed, as unexpected clean sheets in Samsun, Rize, Gaziantep, and Eyüpspor undermined expectations of shared scoring. Exact scoreline projections were blanked entirely, with zero correct from nine attempts.
Elsewhere, the model performed with consistency. The total goals calls fared best of all, returning eight correct from nine fixtures. In the win or draw topic, seven of nine forecasts were accurate, matching the seven of nine achieved in first team to score calls. Half-time and full-time calls produced six correct from nine, matching the match result tally, where six of the nine projected outcomes landed as expected.
Results
Galatasaray 3-1 Kasımpaşa Galatasaray handled business on Friday, taking command through their potent attack to ensure our high-confidence home win and over 2.5 goals projections were met.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-2 Amed Amed struck early to land the first team to score call, but the league leaders failed to convert their territorial edge into three points, missing our forecast of an away victory in Ankara.
Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Both attacks stalled in a scoreless stalemate, satisfying the projection of fewer than 2.5 goals while frustrating our call for a home win.
Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor took immediate control, scoring early and easing clear to deliver our away win and half-time/full-time forecasts, though the hosts failed to deliver a projected goal of their own.
Rizespor 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe produced a controlled display, validating our projections for an away win and three or more goals while keeping a clean sheet that spoiled the both teams to score call.
Konyaspor 0-0 Başakşehir Neither side managed a breakthrough in central Anatolia, completely foiling our expectation of a Başakşehir away win and an open encounter with goals.
Gaziantep FK 0-3 Çorum FK Çorum FK converted their opportunities in style, securing an away win that validated our projection of a decisive outcome and more than 2.5 goals.
Beşiktaş 2-1 Kocaelispor Vincenzo Italiano's side continued their strong run at Besiktas Park, leading from the front to land our high-confidence Beşiktaş win call.
Eyüpspor 0-4 Göztepe Göztepe converted their superior underlying chance numbers into a lopsided victory on Monday, landing our away win call while leaving Eyüpspor scoreless once again.
What we got wrong
The biggest miss of the round occurred in Konya, where Konyaspor and Başakşehir played out a dull 0-0 draw. The projection had leaned toward a Başakşehir victory with more than 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, relying on the visitors' productive front line and their habit of conceding on the road. Instead, Başakşehir failed to mount sustained pressure and Konyaspor's quiet attack produced another blank, completely unraveling the match card.
The model also misjudged the fixture between Gençlerbirliği and Amed. While the forecast anticipated goals, it underestimated the resistance of the hosts, who had conceded heavily coming into the weekend. Amed scored twice but could not secure the projected away win, leaving their lead at the top narrower than expected.
Matchweek 7 solidified the authority of the Istanbul heavyweights, with Galatasaray, Fenerbahçe, and Beşiktaş each collecting three points to tighten the standings near the summit.
