RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven: Eight PSV Absentees
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RB Leipzig face PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, at Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, as the Dutch visitors arrive with eight players ruled out through injury.
Eight players sidelined for PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven travel to Germany depleted across multiple positions. Adamo Nagalo, Alassane Pléa, Jerdy Schouten, Kilian Sildillia, Paul Wanner, Ricardo Pepi, Sam Lammers, and Sami Ouaissa are all unavailable because of injury. That leaves PSV reliant on Guus Til, their leading scorer with five goals in all competitions this season, to lead their attack. The Dutch side sit 20th in the 36-team Champions League table after drawing 1-1 against Shakhtar Donetsk on 10 September 2026. In their domestic campaign, a 3-2 away loss to Twente on 20 September was followed by a 2-0 home victory over Heerenveen on 9 October. Across their last five matches with chance data, PSV have created 1.80 expected goals per game while allowing 1.67.
RB Leipzig produce 11 goals across two home fixtures
RB Leipzig sit 32nd in the Champions League standings with zero points after a 4-1 away defeat against Como on 10 September 2026. Away form has been difficult, including a 3-1 defeat at Werder Bremen on 5 September and a 2-0 loss at Bayer Leverkusen on 20 September. In contrast, Leipzig have dominated at Red Bull Arena, beating Hamburger SV 5-0 on 13 September before securing a 6-0 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt on 10 October. Christoph Baumgartner, Assan Ouédraogo, and Marc Guiu remain sidelined by injury, but Christopher Nkunku leads the squad with four goals in all competitions. Over their last five matches with chance data, Leipzig have produced 2.04 expected goals a game while allowing 1.58.
Our model expects an RB Leipzig win
Our forecasting model expects an RB Leipzig win with medium confidence. That assessment matches the disparity in squad health, with PSV Eindhoven missing eight first-team players for the trip. It also reflects Leipzig's strength at Red Bull Arena, where they have scored 11 goals without reply across their last two games, supported by an average of 2.04 expected goals created per match compared to PSV's 1.80.
