RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt

RB Leipzig meet Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, where the hosts have won both league fixtures this season without conceding a single goal.

RB Leipzig boast eight goals without reply at Red Bull Arena

In their two Bundesliga outings at Red Bull Arena, RB Leipzig defeated Hamburger SV 5-0 on 13 September 2026 and Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-0 on 29 August 2026. That gives them two wins from two home league fixtures with eight goals scored and zero allowed. Their away form has contrasted sharply, featuring a 2-0 defeat at Bayer Leverkusen on 20 September and a 3-1 loss at Werder Bremen on 5 September. Leipzig sit ninth in the Bundesliga table on six points from four games. Ridle Baku leads their scoring charts across all competitions with two goals, supported by chance metrics that average 2.02 expected goals created and 1.47 conceded per game.

Eintracht Frankfurt concede nearly two expected goals per match

Eintracht Frankfurt sit tenth with five points, having scored nine and conceded ten across four Bundesliga matches. Their defence has conceded high chance quality, allowing an average of 1.98 expected goals per game while generating 1.76. Younes Ebnoutalib has provided their main threat, scoring four goals in all competitions. Away from home, Frankfurt remain unbeaten in the league with one win and one draw, scoring six and conceding four. They drew 3-3 at Union Berlin on 29 August and beat FSV Mainz 05 3-1 on 12 September, before drawing 2-2 at home against SC Freiburg on 19 September.

Five absentees for Leipzig as Frankfurt manage four injury doubts

Both teams arrive with fitness concerns. RB Leipzig are missing five players through injury: Assan Ouédraogo, Brajan Gruda, Christoph Baumgartner, Marc Guiu, and Rocco Reitz. Eintracht Frankfurt travel without Jeremiaha Maluze, Jessic Ngankam, and Malik Pimpong due to injury, while Farès Chaïbi remains doubtful. Recent meetings between these two sides lean towards Leipzig, who won the last meeting 3-1 on 18 April 2026 and registered a 6-0 win in this fixture on 6 December 2025.

Our model firmly expects a RB Leipzig win

Our forecasting model firmly expects an RB Leipzig win. Leipzig have maintained an unblemished home record in the Bundesliga, outscoring opponents 8-0 at Red Bull Arena while generating 2.02 expected goals per game. Frankfurt have conceded ten goals in four league games and give up an average of 1.98 expected goals, leaving them exposed despite their positive away results.