Scotland vs Switzerland

Scotland host Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at Hampden Park in Glasgow, with the home side seeking their first goal in four matches.

Scotland scoreless across three consecutive outings

Scotland entered League B Group 1 with a 0-0 draw away at Slovenia on 26 September 2026. That result extended a run without a goal that dates back to the World Cup, where they lost 0-1 to Morocco on 19 June 2026 and 0-3 to Brazil on 24 June 2026. Their last competitive goal came in a 1-0 win against Haiti on 14 June 2026. Across their last four matches with chance data, Scotland have produced 1.15 expected goals per match while conceding 1.73. They sit third in Group 1 with one point from one fixture.

Switzerland bring sharp form and defensive control

Switzerland opened their campaign at the top of Group 1 following a 3-0 away victory over FYR Macedonia on 26 September 2026. Forward Johan Manzambi leads the squad with three goals in all competitions this season. Over their last five outings with chance data, the Swiss have generated 1.27 expected goals per match and surrendered only 0.86. Their run includes three victories from their past five games, beating Algeria 2-0 on 3 July 2026 and Canada 2-1 on 24 June 2026 before their 1-3 World Cup defeat to Argentina on 12 July 2026.

Our model expects a Switzerland win

Our forecasting model expects a Switzerland win with medium confidence. Switzerland hold a goal difference of plus three after their 3-0 win on matchday one and concede under one expected goal per fixture. In contrast, Scotland have gone three consecutive matches without finding the net and surrender 1.73 expected goals on average.