North Macedonia vs Scotland: Both Goalless in Group B1
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North Macedonia host Scotland in League B Matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at Toše Proeski Arena in Skopje, with neither team having scored a goal in Group B1.
North Macedonia bottom after consecutive shutouts
North Macedonia sit fourth in Group 1 with zero points from two games and a goal difference of minus five. They opened the campaign with a 3-0 home defeat to Switzerland on 26 September 2026 before losing 2-0 away at Slovenia on 29 September 2026.
That loss to Switzerland represents their complete home record in this Nations League campaign, leaving them with zero goals scored and three conceded on their own turf. North Macedonia enter the match with no reported absences, but they remain the only side in the group without a point.
Scotland seek their first goal under Sébastien Pocognoli
Scotland sit third in Group 1 with one point from two matches, having conceded three times without finding the net. Head coach Sébastien Pocognoli started his tenure with a 0-0 away draw against Slovenia on 26 September 2026, followed by a 3-0 home loss against Switzerland on 29 September 2026.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Scotland have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses, including a 1-0 victory over Haiti alongside defeats to Morocco (1-0) and Brazil (3-0) at the World Cup in June 2026. Over the five matches with chance metrics recorded, Scotland averaged 0.94 expected goals per game while allowing 1.71. Their only away fixture in this Nations League campaign was the scoreless result in Slovenia, leaving their defence unbreached on the road in Group B1.
Our model expects a Scotland win
Our forecasting model expects a Scotland win in Skopje, assigning medium confidence to the selection.
North Macedonia have conceded five goals across their two group matches and showed defensive vulnerabilities in their 3-0 loss at home to Switzerland. Scotland have also had trouble scoring, but their clean sheet away at Slovenia gives them the defensive base required to take three points against the section's bottom side.
