Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes

Colorado Rapids host San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, with the home side defending a record of nine wins from 13 home matches this campaign.

Colorado strong at home despite three absentees

Colorado Rapids sit eighth in the Western Conference with 36 points from 27 games. While their overall form shows one win in their last five matches, their record at Dick's Sporting Goods Park stands out, with nine wins, one draw, and three losses while conceding 12 goals across 13 fixtures. Their latest league outing ended in a 3-2 defeat away at Los Angeles Galaxy on 27 September 2026, where a two-goal lead slipped away in the second half.

Top scorer Rafael Navarro leads the Rapids attack with 10 goals in all competitions, but the squad faces multiple injury absences. Goalkeeper Zack Steffen is sidelined with an injury, joining Theodore Ku-DiPietro and Mamadou Billo Diop on the unavailable list.

Preston Judd leads unbeaten San Jose run

San Jose Earthquakes travel to Commerce City, Colorado in fourth position with 45 points from 27 matches, holding a nine-point advantage over Colorado. The Earthquakes arrive on a five-match unbeaten sequence, highlighted by a 3-1 victory over Portland Timbers on 27 September 2026 and away points against San Diego (3-2) and Austin (1-1). San Jose have also shown resilience on the road throughout the season, compiling seven wins and three draws from 13 away fixtures.

Forward Preston Judd has scored 15 goals across all competitions this season to pace the San Jose attack. The visitors must adjust their lineup, however, as defender Reid Roberts is out through suspension, while Darius Johnson, DeJuan Jones, and Nonso Adimabua remain unavailable due to injury.

San Jose hold recent edge in Commerce City, Colorado

Recent head-to-head fixtures between these two sides have produced victories for the traveling teams. San Jose won 2-0 against Colorado on 11 May 2025 and took a 3-2 win on 12 May 2024. Across the last five encounters dating back to June 2023, each team has claimed two victories alongside one scoreless draw.

Our model expects a Colorado Rapids win

Our model expects a Colorado Rapids win, giving the home side the edge with medium confidence. The call rests heavily on Colorado winning nine of their 13 fixtures at Dick's Sporting Goods Park and generating an average of 1.36 expected goals per match over their last five games. San Jose's absence of four players through suspension and injury offsets their recent five-game unbeaten sequence.