Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC: Steffen Out
Published
Colorado Rapids host Minnesota United FC in Major League Soccer on 15 October 2026 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park in Commerce City, Colorado, with the visitors looking to halt a five-match winless streak.
Minnesota have conceded 14 goals in five games
Minnesota United FC sit 14th in the Western Conference with 30 points from 28 matches and a minus-nine goal difference. Their recent form shows one point from five matches: a 2-2 home draw against Houston Dynamo on 11 October followed four consecutive defeats. In that span, they lost 1-3 away to Seattle Sounders on 27 September, 2-3 at home to Los Angeles Galaxy on 20 September, 2-4 away to St. Louis City on 13 September, and 1-2 at home to FC Dallas on 10 September.
Defensive issues have been prominent in Minnesota's underlying numbers as well. Over their last five matches with chance data, they have allowed 2.07 expected goals per game while generating 1.52. Top scorer Kelvin Yeboah provides their primary scoring outlet with 15 goals across all competitions this season, but the squad travels without injured duo Alec Smir and Peter Stroud.
Steffen among four Colorado absentees
Colorado Rapids hold eighth place in the Western Conference with 37 points from 28 fixtures. Their form at Dick's Sporting Goods Park has anchored their campaign, yielding nine wins, two draws, and three defeats from 14 league fixtures, with 26 goals scored and 13 conceded.
Colorado drew 1-1 at home against San Jose Earthquakes on 11 October, following a 2-3 away loss to Los Angeles Galaxy on 27 September, a 3-3 home draw with Seattle Sounders on 20 September, and a 1-0 home victory against CF Montreal on 13 September. Rafael Navarro leads the club with 10 goals in all competitions, but Colorado are missing four players through injury: goalkeeper Zack Steffen, Theodore Ku-DiPietro, Youssef Maziz, and Ali Fadal.
Rapids unbeaten in three meetings
Colorado have taken points from each of the last three encounters with Minnesota United FC. Their most recent meeting on 14 May 2026 resulted in a 1-0 away victory for Colorado. Prior to that, the sides drew 1-1 on 28 September 2025, and Colorado won 2-1 away on 10 August 2025.
Our model leans towards a Colorado win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Colorado Rapids win. Colorado's record of nine wins from 14 matches at Dick's Sporting Goods Park and Minnesota's run of 14 goals conceded across their last five fixtures support the home side, though Colorado's four injuries and the scoring output of Kelvin Yeboah complicate the task.

