Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City: Unbeaten at Home
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Nashville SC face Sporting Kansas City in Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October 2026 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, separated by 41 points in the standings. The home side sit top of the Eastern Conference with 63 points from 28 matches, while the visitors sit 15th in the Western Conference with 22 points.
Nashville SC boast 13 wins from 14 home fixtures
Nashville SC enter the match with 13 wins, one draw, and zero defeats from their 14 home games in Major League Soccer, scoring 41 goals and conceding 12. They have won three straight league games, most recently beating Austin 4-1 away on 11 October 2026, following a 2-0 home win over Toronto FC on 27 September 2026 and a 3-0 home shutout against Chicago Fire on 20 September 2026. Over their last five games with chance data, they produced 2.58 expected goals per match while conceding 1.20.
Top scorer Sam Surridge leads the Nashville SC attack with 16 goals across all competitions this season. The home side have minimal injury disruption, with Owen Presthus listed as their single absence due to injury.
Sporting Kansas City have lost 11 away games
Sporting Kansas City travel to Arlington having lost 11 of their 14 away games in Major League Soccer, winning three and drawing none. Across those 14 away trips they have allowed 39 goals while scoring 14. In total, they have conceded 68 goals in 28 league fixtures, giving them a goal difference of -33.
The visitors drew 3-3 at home against Portland Timbers on 11 October 2026 after falling 1-2 away at Seattle Sounders on 2 October 2026. While top scorer Dejan Joveljić has eight goals in all competitions this season, Sporting Kansas City are depleted by five confirmed injuries: Capita, Jacob Davis, Moisés Mosquera, Or Blorian, and Owen Wolff are all ruled out. The only prior recorded encounter between the sides was a 3-0 victory for Nashville SC on 21 September 2023.
Our model firmly expects a Nashville SC win
Our forecasting model firmly expects a Nashville SC win. The projection is supported by Nashville SC's unbeaten home run of 13 victories in 14 matches and their +37 goal difference, set against Sporting Kansas City's 11 away defeats and five sidelined players.
