Dordrecht vs Almere City FC: Five Straight Losses

DordrechtDOR

Beni Christophe Mpanzu 22'
Stan Henderikx 58'
A. Ouarghi 90+1'

Eerste Divisie

3–2

Full Time

HT 1–1

M-Scores Stadion

Dordrecht

Almere City FCALM

Olivier de Nijs 10'
Joey Jacobs 90'

AI ForecastsGraded

Match of the day · free full analysis

Dordrecht are in freefall, losing five on the spin and conceding at an alarming rate — their 21 goals against is comfortably the worst in the division. Almere City arrive at the opposite end of the table, boasting the league’s best away record with three wins and a draw from four, and they dismantled this opponent 4-1 the last time they met. The key question is whether Dordrecht’s ability to score early — 40% of their goals come in the opening quarter-hour — can rattle a visiting defence that has been near impenetrable. With Druijf in prolific form, Almere’s late surges (43% of their goals after the 75th minute) could punish a backline that has kept no clean sheet all season.

Match ResultAway Win47%

Dordrecht have lost every league game over the past month and are undermining any threat they carry by shipping three goals a game; Almere have been beaten once all season and have yet to lose on the road.

Two-Outcome ResultHome or Away77%

Dordrecht’s home matches have seen them score in two of three, and Almere’s one away draw shows they are not infallible, but the gulf in defensive stability and overall form makes a home result a stretch.

Total Goals3 or more goals68%

Eight of Dordrecht’s last ten fixtures have produced three or more goals, while Almere’s away matches have gone past two and a half goals in four of six, largely because the visitors carry such a potent edge.

High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

Dordrecht vs Almere City FC: Five Straight Losses

Published Fri 25 Sept

Dordrecht host Almere City FC in Eerste Divisie Matchweek 8 on Friday, 25 September 2026 at M-Scores Stadion, with the hosts on a five-match losing streak.

Dordrecht have lost five matches in a row

Dordrecht enter the fixture in 19th place with four points from seven league matches, holding a -12 goal difference after scoring nine and conceding 21. Their last five games have all ended in defeat: 0-3 away to FC OSS on 18 September 2026, 1-2 away to FC Eindhoven on 11 September 2026, 3-6 at home to Jong AZ on 5 September 2026, 1-6 away to FC Volendam on 28 August 2026, and 0-1 at home against Roda on 21 August 2026. Across their last five fixtures with chance data, Dordrecht have created an average of 0.65 expected goals while allowing 1.95 per game. Martin Vetkal remains the club's leading scorer this season across all competitions with three goals.

Almere City FC unbeaten away with 12 goals scored

Almere City FC hold second place in the division with 16 points and a +12 goal difference from seven games. They have recorded three wins, one draw, and zero defeats in four away league matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding two on the road. Their recent away results include a 4-0 win at MVV on 11 September 2026, a 4-1 victory at De Graafschap on 29 August 2026, and a 3-0 win at Vitesse on 21 August 2026. Striker Ferdy Druijf leads their attack with six goals this season in all competitions. Over their last five outings, Almere City FC have produced 1.63 expected goals per game while conceding 1.20.

Our model expects an Almere City FC win

Our model expects an Almere City FC win, assigning medium confidence to the away side. Almere City FC have won both previous meetings between the clubs, recording a 4-1 home victory on 17 April 2026 and a 1-0 away win on 3 November 2025. That head-to-head advantage pairs with Dordrecht's run of 18 goals conceded across their last five matches.

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