FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo: Flawless Kras Form
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FC Volendam face VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday, 26 September 2026 at Kras Stadion in Volendam, pairing a flawless home record against a side sitting third in the table.
Volendam have won three from three at Kras Stadion
FC Volendam enter Matchweek 8 in 13th place with nine points, yet their campaign has been divided sharply by venue. Away from home they have stumbled, including a 4-1 loss at Jong AZ on 18 September and a 5-3 defeat at Emmen on 4 September. At Kras Stadion, however, they have taken nine points from nine, scoring 11 goals and conceding only one across three fixtures. That run includes a 6-1 win over Dordrecht on 28 August and a 2-0 victory against Den Bosch on 13 September.
Henk Veerman provides the focal point in attack, having scored eight goals across all competitions this season. Over their last four matches with chance data, Volendam have created 2.42 expected goals per game while allowing 1.25, showing sustained territorial control despite their mid-table standing.
VVV Venlo sit third but allow 2.49 expected goals a game
VVV Venlo arrive in third place with 15 points from seven games and a goal difference of plus-eight. They have won four of their last five matches, most recently defeating Jong Utrecht 3-1 on 18 September following a 3-1 home victory over FC OSS. Dean Zandbergen leads their scoring chart with four goals in all competitions, and away from home they have collected two wins from three outings, scoring seven and conceding five.
Behind those results, however, the visitors have surrendered heavy chances. Across their last five matches with data, VVV Venlo have generated 1.65 expected goals per game while allowing 2.49. That gap was evident in their sole away loss, a 4-2 reverse at Helmond Sport on 4 September. The recent head-to-head between the two teams is evenly split: VVV Venlo won 4-2 at Kras Stadion on 27 September 2024, before Volendam answered with a 3-1 away win on 22 February 2025.
Our model expects a FC Volendam win
Our model expects a FC Volendam win. While VVV Venlo hold a six-point advantage in the table, the underlying numbers favor the hosts. Volendam's three wins from three at home, combined with an expected goal margin of plus-1.17 against Venlo's minus-0.84, support the call for a home victory.

