Roda vs Waalwijk: Waalwijk Form Meets Tight Home Defence

RodaROD

Bram Marsman 9'
Cain Seedorf 73'

Eerste Divisie

2–0

Full Time

HT 1–0

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Kerkrade

WaalwijkWAA

AI ForecastsGraded

Roda have built their start on a stubborn home record, still unbeaten in Kerkrade and finding the net in every home league game. Waalwijk arrive with a seven-match unbeaten start and have scored more freely than almost anyone in the division, though their away results have been…

Match ResultHome Win38%

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Match Stats

Top Stats

43%Possession57%

6 (3)Shots (on target)12 (6)

Possession & Passing

419 · –Passes (accuracy)547 · –

1Corners5

Defending & Discipline

6Saves1

10Fouls11

Roda vs Waalwijk: Waalwijk Form Meets Tight Home Defence

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
6	Roda	10	2	16
9	Waalwijk	10	4	14

Published Fri 25 Sept

Roda host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday, 26 September 2026 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion in Kerkrade, with the visitors arriving on a three-match winning run while the hosts defend an unbeaten home record.

Waalwijk enter on a 12-goal scoring run

Waalwijk have hit their sharpest attacking patch of the campaign. They beat MVV 6-1 on 18 September, followed by a 2-0 win away at Jong Ajax on 11 September and a 4-2 victory against NAC Breda on 4 September. That sequence pushed them to fourth in the Eerste Divisie table with 13 points from seven games and a league-leading 18 goals scored.

Keyan Varela leads the Waalwijk attack with three goals across all competitions. Away from home, Waalwijk have collected one win and two draws in three league matches, scoring four and conceding two. Chance creation over their last five matches averages 1.28 expected goals a game while conceding 1.01 expected goals.

Roda lean on Parkstad Limburg record

Roda sit eighth in the table with 12 points, just one point behind Waalwijk. Defensive organisation has driven their start to the campaign, having allowed five goals in seven games. At Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Roda have won twice and drawn once from three league fixtures, scoring five and conceding three.

Their recent outings have remained low-scoring. Roda drew 0-0 away at Jong Ajax on 18 September and earned a 1-0 win at home to Vitesse on 12 September. Marco Tol remains their top scorer this season with two goals. Over their last five matches with chance data, Roda created 1.62 expected goals per game while allowing 1.43.

The clubs have drawn their last two meetings, both finishing 1-1 in April and May 2026, though Roda claimed a 2-1 away victory in February 2026.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Roda win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Roda win. The call reflects Roda's undefeated home record and low concession rate, which counter Waalwijk's recent 12-goal surge across their three-match winning sequence.