Den Bosch vs Dordrecht

Den Bosch host Dordrecht in Matchweek 9 of the Eerste Divisie on Saturday 3 October 2026 at Stadion De Vliert in 's-Hertogenbosch, with both clubs level on seven points. While both sides sit in the bottom quarter of the division, Dordrecht arrive without a single away victory this campaign.

Dordrecht concede 13 away while winless in four

Dordrecht enter 17th in the standings having conceded 23 goals across their opening eight fixtures, the highest total in the league. Their struggles away from home have been pronounced: across four away trips, they have recorded one draw and three defeats, conceding 13 times while scoring four.

Their recent away sequence features heavy defeats, including a 6-1 loss at FC Volendam on 28 August, a 2-1 loss at FC Eindhoven on 11 September, and a 3-0 defeat at TOP Oss on 18 September. Although they halted a four-match losing streak with a 3-2 home win over Almere City FC on 25 September, their underlying chance numbers show persistent vulnerability. Across their last five matches with chance data, Dordrecht have created an average of 1.16 expected goals per match while conceding 2.64.

Den Bosch generate 2.40 expected goals a game

Sitting 16th, Den Bosch have also experienced an uneven start with two wins, one draw, and five losses. However, their home record provides a stark contrast to their travels, taking seven points from four matches at Stadion De Vliert with two wins, one draw, and one defeat.

Their attacking metrics show strong output. Over their last four matches with chance data, Den Bosch have generated 2.40 expected goals per game while allowing 1.74. Striker Sebastian Karlsson Grach leads their attack with four goals in all competitions, having helped secure a 2-1 home victory against Helmond Sport on 18 September before a 1-0 away defeat at De Graafschap on 27 September.

Dordrecht unbeaten in five head-to-head meetings

Despite their away difficulties, Dordrecht hold an unbroken recent record against Den Bosch. Dordrecht have won four of the last five meetings between the sides, along with a 3-3 draw at Stadion De Vliert on 12 September 2025.

The most recent fixture ended in a 3-2 victory for Dordrecht on 23 January 2026. Top scorer Martin Vetkal, who has three goals across all competitions this season, will look to extend that historical advantage.

Our model expects a Den Bosch win

Our model expects a Den Bosch win with medium confidence. Dordrecht's defensive leakage away from home—allowing 13 goals in four matches—aligns against Den Bosch's ability to create 2.40 expected goals per contest and their solid home return of nine goals scored in four matches at Stadion De Vliert.