Blackburn vs Cardiff

Blackburn host Cardiff in Championship Matchweek 9 on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Ewood Park, with the visitors searching for their first away victory of the league campaign.

Cardiff create chances despite poor away record

Cardiff sit 21st in the Championship table with seven points from eight games, having failed to win any of their four away fixtures. On the road, they have drawn once and lost three times, scoring three goals and conceding seven. That run includes consecutive away losses at QPR (2-1), Portsmouth (2-0), and Bolton (1-0) in September. However, their underlying attack remains active: over their last five matches with chance data, Cardiff generated 1.83 expected goals per game while allowing 1.29. Top scorer Jack Moylan, who has three goals this season in all competitions, scored in their latest outing, a 3-1 home win against Charlton on 19 September 2026.

Blackburn absorb pressure and manage mounting injuries

Blackburn enter Matchweek 9 in 16th place with nine points and an even goal difference of 12 scored and 12 conceded. At Ewood Park, they have taken two wins and two defeats from four matches, scoring seven and allowing six. Their chance creation has been modest, averaging 0.91 expected goals per game over their last five matches with data, while allowing 1.46. O. Afolayan leads the squad with three goals in all competitions, helping secure a 2-2 draw away at Portsmouth on 19 September 2026. Absences could test their depth: Lewis Miller and Yuri Ribeiro are ruled out with injuries, while Augustus Kargbo, Mathias Jørgensen, Scott Wharton, and Yuki Ohashi are listed as doubtful.

Suspensions and recent meetings at Ewood Park

Cardiff must also cope without key personnel. Krystian Bielik is unavailable through suspension, while Calum Chambers, Isaak Davies, Rubin Colwill, and Yousef Salech are out injured. Cardiff can take encouragement from their recent trip to Ewood Park, where they defeated Blackburn 2-1 on 15 March 2025. Across the last five encounters between the sides, Blackburn have won two, Cardiff two, alongside a 0-0 draw on 20 February 2024.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Cardiff win

Our model leans narrowly towards a Cardiff win. While the Welsh club have collected just one point from four away fixtures this term, their offensive output of 1.83 expected goals per game contrasts sharply with Blackburn allowing 1.46 and generating only 0.91. That chance disparity, coupled with Blackburn's extensive injury list and Cardiff's 2-1 win at Ewood Park in March 2025, supports the call despite Cardiff missing five players.