West Ham vs QPR: Second Meets Unbeaten Away Record
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West Ham host QPR in the Championship on Friday 9 October 2026 at London Stadium in London, with the home side entering the fixture second in the table after scoring 22 goals in their opening eight league fixtures.
West Ham score 14 goals across four home matches
The home side have accumulated 15 points from eight matches, built largely on their attacking output at London Stadium. West Ham have won three of their four home league fixtures, scoring 14 goals and conceding four. Across their last five matches with chance data, they have generated 2.31 expected goals per match while conceding 1.51.
Defender Konstantinos Mavropanos leads the club's scoring charts with four goals across all competitions. West Ham enter the fixture following a 2-2 draw away at Millwall on 19 September 2026, a match in which midfielder Mohamadou Kanté scored before receiving a red card. Kanté serves a suspension for this fixture. Joël Veltman is ruled out through injury, while Tomás Souček is listed as doubtful.
QPR arrive unbeaten away but carry six absentees
QPR sit sixth in the Championship table with 13 points from eight games, having conceded seven goals all season. Their away record provides their strongest defensive foundation: two wins and two draws from four matches away from home, conceding only three times. Their last three league fixtures have all ended level, most recently a 2-2 home draw against Preston on 19 September 2026, following a 1-1 draw at West Brom on 12 September and a 0-0 result at Charlton on 9 September.
Personnel issues complicate the visitors' preparation. Dennis Cirkin is suspended, while both Karamoko Dembélé and Tariq Lamptey are out with injuries. Leading scorer Ilias Chair, who has scored two goals in all competitions, is doubtful with an injury, as are Boy Kemper and Richard Kone. QPR have generated 1.48 expected goals per game over their last five matches with data, allowing 1.27.
Our model firmly expects a West Ham win
Our forecasting model firmly expects a West Ham win. The call reflects West Ham's rate of chance creation, averaging 2.31 expected goals a game, and their return of 14 goals in four home league fixtures. While QPR have yet to lose an away match in the Championship, their list of six injured or suspended players—including leading scorer Chair and defender Cirkin—tilts the balance towards the home team.
