Bristol City vs Blackburn

Bristol City host Blackburn in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at Ashton Gate Stadium in Bristol, with the visitors seeking their first away league victory of the season.

Blackburn travel without an away win in four

Blackburn sit 13th in the table with 12 points from nine fixtures, but their away record shows zero wins, three draws, and one defeat from four road trips. They have scored five and conceded six goals on their travels in the league, including a 2-2 draw at Portsmouth on 19 September and a 2-1 defeat at Preston on 5 September.

Absences in defence also complicate the trip for Blackburn. Lewis Miller and Yuri Ribeiro are ruled out with injuries, while Mathias Jørgensen, Scott Wharton, and forward Yuki Ohashi are listed as doubtful. Andri Guðjohnsen remains Blackburn's primary scoring threat this season with four goals in all competitions, but the away side will have to manage depleted resources at the back.

Bristol City generate superior chance volume

Bristol City enter Tuesday in 10th place on 14 points, two points ahead of Blackburn. At Ashton Gate Stadium, the hosts have split four Championship games, winning two and losing two, including a 1-0 win against Watford on 18 September and a 1-0 defeat to Lincoln on 15 September.

The underlying data shows a clear gap in chance creation. Over their last five matches with chance data recorded, Bristol City have created 1.55 expected goals per game while allowing only 0.98. Scott Twine leads the squad with three goals across all competitions. In contrast, Blackburn have allowed 1.36 expected goals per match over their last five while producing 1.21, conceding more opportunities than they manufacture.

Recent meetings between the clubs have remained competitive, with Bristol City winning 2-1 at Blackburn on 24 February 2026 after Blackburn took a 1-0 victory at Ashton Gate on 4 November 2025.

Our model expects a Bristol City win

Our model expects a Bristol City win for this fixture. That assessment aligns with Blackburn's four-game winless record on the road in the Championship, a heavy injury list across their defensive line, and Bristol City's positive expected goals differential over their past five matches.