Preston vs Millwall

Preston host Millwall in Championship action on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Deepdale in Preston, with the visitors entering the match unbeaten across the last five meetings between the sides.

Millwall hold the upper hand in recent meetings

Millwall have dominated this fixture in recent years, going without defeat in five consecutive matches against Preston since January 2024. The London club won the most recent encounter 2-0 at Deepdale on 28 February 2026, adding to a 3-1 victory on 28 September 2024 and three 1-1 draws on 8 November 2025, 18 February 2025, and 27 January 2024.

Preston enter the match 23rd in the Championship table, having accumulated only four points from their opening eight matches with a goal difference of minus seven. At Deepdale, the home side have lost three of their four league games this season, falling 3-1 to Bristol City on 1 September and 1-0 to Lincoln on 12 September, with a solitary 2-1 win over Blackburn on 5 September.

Millwall contend with seven potential absentees

Millwall sit 11th in the Championship with 11 points from eight games, but manager Alex Neil has a lengthy injury list to monitor. Lukas Bornhøft Jensen, Mathis Servais, and Ryan Leonard are confirmed out through injury, while Casper de Norre, Josh Coburn, Mihailo Ivanović, and Tristan Crama are listed as doubtful.

Despite the fitness issues, Millwall have remained potent in attack, producing an average of 1.84 expected goals per game over their last five matches with chance data. Top scorer L. Dykes has four goals across all competitions this season, helping Millwall score 15 league goals so far. However, their defense has also surrendered 15, including two goals in each of their last two league games: a 2-2 draw at Middlesbrough on 15 September and a 2-2 home draw against West Ham on 19 September.

Preston carry their own fitness concerns, with Alistair McCann ruled out by injury and both Brad Potts and Caleb Wiley listed as doubtful. The home side lean on top scorer C. Lang, who has scored three goals in all competitions, to lift an attack that has generated 1.73 expected goals per game while conceding 1.47.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Millwall win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Millwall win with low confidence. Millwall's superior record in this fixture and Preston's run of three defeats from four home league games support the call, although Millwall's seven injury doubts and Preston's respectable expected goals numbers keep the contest competitive.