Birmingham vs Preston: Visitors Bottom with Four Points

BirminghamBIR

Liam Millar 34'
August Priske 45+2', 45+4'
Demarai Gray 76'

Championship

4–0

Full Time

HT 3–0

St Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham

PrestonPRE

Sent off:Stanley Mills 56'

AI ForecastsGraded

Birmingham host a Preston side rooted to the foot of the Championship, and the gap in quality and squad value is clear. Chris Davies's team have drawn all four home matches so far, but they create the better chances and have scored in nearly every recent outing. Preston under…

Match ResultHome Win60%

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High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

Key facts

Birmingham have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Alexander Cochrane ranks 2nd in this competition for big chances created this season (6)
Preston have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Andrija Vukčević has created the most big chances for Preston this season (3)

As they stood before kick-off.

Birmingham vs Preston: Visitors Bottom with Four Points

Published Tue 13 Oct

Birmingham host Preston in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at St Andrew's Stadium, with 10 points and 17 places separating the sides in the table.

Birmingham hold three consecutive wins in this fixture

Birmingham have taken victory in each of their last three meetings with Preston. The run includes a 1-0 win on 1 April 2024, a 1-0 away win on 21 October 2025, and a 2-1 victory on 22 April 2026. Preston last took points from Birmingham on 19 September 2023 in a 2-1 home victory.

Preston sit 24th with mounting injury doubts

Preston enter Matchweek 10 at the foot of the Championship table, in 24th position with four points from nine matches. They have zero wins, one draw, and three defeats from four away fixtures in the competition, scoring four and conceding seven. A 1-0 home loss against Millwall on 10 October 2026 left Preston with just one win in five outings.

Fitness issues further restrict the away side. Top scorer C. Lang, who has three goals in all competitions, is doubtful with an injury. Midfielder Alistair McCann is confirmed out, while Brad Potts, Caleb Wiley, and Harry Clarke are also carrying injuries and remain doubtful.

Birmingham have drawn all four home league games

Birmingham occupy seventh position with 14 points from nine matches after winning 1-0 away at West Brom on 10 October 2026. Despite their upper-table placement, Birmingham have not won a league match at St Andrew's Stadium this season, recording four draws from four games with seven goals scored and seven conceded. That run features 2-2 draws against Wolves on 6 September 2026 and Middlesbrough on 19 September 2026.

Chance production remains strong for the home side, who have generated 2.01 expected goals per game while conceding 1.41 over their last five matches with data. Phil Neumann leads the team with two goals this season. For this fixture, Paik Seung-Ho is out with an injury, and Marc Leonard is doubtful.

Our model expects a Birmingham win

Our forecasting model expects a Birmingham win. The assessment reflects Preston's return of zero wins from four away matches, coupled with Birmingham's run of three straight victories in this head-to-head series. While Birmingham's four consecutive home draws present pause, Preston's league-low goal difference of minus-eight and doubts over top scorer C. Lang align with the projection.

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