Wolves vs Bolton

Wolves meet Bolton in the Championship on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton, West Midlands, putting their unbeaten home record on the line.

Wolves look to protect unbeaten home form

Wolves sit fifth in the Championship table with 14 points from eight games and a goal difference of plus-four. Their strength has come at Molineux Stadium, where they have won two and drawn one of their three league fixtures, scoring seven goals and conceding three. Although Cesar Peixoto's side slipped to a 1-0 defeat away at Middlesbrough on 10 October 2026, they edged West Brom 1-0 in their last outing at home on 20 September 2026.

Attacking selections are constrained by injury concerns. Raul Jiménez is out with an injury, while Rodrigo Gomes and Yerson Mosquera are doubtful with injuries of their own. Top scorer Fer López, who has four goals in all competitions this season, carries the primary scoring threat for a Wolves side generating 1.27 expected goals per match while restricting opponents to 0.96.

Bolton carry defensive concerns after ten away goals conceded

Bolton arrive at Molineux Stadium 17th in the Championship table, holding 10 points from nine matches with a minus-five goal difference. Defensive instability has shaped their travels, yielding one win, one draw, and two defeats from four away matches, shipping ten goals in that span. Their last outing ended in a 2-1 home loss against Stoke City on 10 October 2026, following a high-scoring 4-3 victory away at Norwich on 20 September 2026 and a 4-0 defeat away at Millwall on 5 September 2026.

Bolton create chances regularly, averaging 1.41 expected goals per match over their last five fixtures with data, led by top scorer Sam Dalby with three goals this season. However, they concede an average of 1.60 expected goals per game and remain without Luca Stephenson due to injury.

Our model firmly expects a Wolves win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Wolves win on Tuesday. That projection is supported by the clear contrast between Wolves' defensive organisation and Bolton's open structure on the road. Wolves have allowed only three league goals on home soil this season and allow under one expected goal per game. Bolton, having conceded ten goals across four away fixtures, face a difficult test breaking down the hosts.