AEK Athens FC vs OFI: Five Straight Head-to-Head Wins
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AEK Athens FC host OFI in Super League 1 action on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Allwyn Arena in Athens, having won each of the past five meetings between the sides.
AEK hold five consecutive head-to-head victories
The series between the two clubs has tilted heavily toward AEK Athens FC in recent seasons. AEK won 2-1 in the last encounter on 21 December 2025, after taking a 1-0 win away on 9 November 2025. Prior to that, AEK secured a 2-1 victory on 8 December 2024 and registered back-to-back 3-0 shutouts on 18 August 2024 and 28 January 2024. Across these five games, AEK scored nine times while conceding only two.
Nine goals scored and none conceded at home
AEK enter Matchweek 6 third in Super League 1 with 11 points from five matches. At Allwyn Arena in league play, they have won both matches, scoring nine goals without conceding. That record includes a 5-0 victory over Aris Thessalonikis on 5 September 2026, alongside a 1-0 European victory against Lask Linz on 8 September 2026. Across their last five matches with chance data, AEK have generated 1.99 expected goals per game while allowing 1.06.
OFI sit fourth with 10 points from five league matches, trailing AEK by a single point. Away from home in the competition, OFI have one win and one loss, having beaten Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 on 12 September 2026 before drawing 2-2 at home against Asteras Tripolis on 20 September 2026. They generate 1.31 expected goals per game and allow 1.20.
Four OFI injuries against Varga absence
AEK will play without top scorer Barnabás Varga, who is sidelined with an injury after scoring six goals in all competitions this season.
OFI deal with wider selection problems, missing four players through injury: Christos Sielis, Nikos Marinakis, Pavlos Kenourgiakis, and Thiago Romano. Kenan Kodro leads OFI in scoring this season with two goals.
Our model firmly expects an AEK Athens FC win
Our model firmly expects an AEK Athens FC win. The forecast reflects AEK's five consecutive head-to-head victories over OFI, their home record of two wins and zero goals conceded in league play, and superior chance creation figures, even with top scorer Varga ruled out.

