Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos

Olympiakos Piraeus host Panathinaikos in Super League 1 Matchweek 6 on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus, where the visitors arrive carrying a perfect league record.

Panathinaikos hold 15 points from five matches

Panathinaikos sit first in the Super League table after winning each of their opening five fixtures. Across that sequence, the league leaders scored 12 goals and conceded only two, generating 2.17 expected goals per match while allowing 1.08. On the road in this competition, they have won both outings without conceding, scoring three times. Cyriel Dessers leads their attack with four goals in all competitions, most recently featuring in a 1-0 victory at Kalamata on 20 September 2026.

Injuries will alter their setup, however. Panathinaikos travel without four confirmed absentees: Levi García, Sotiris Kontouris, Sverrir Ingi Ingason, and Victor Kristiansen are all sidelined through injury.

Olympiakos allow 0.60 expected goals a game

Olympiakos Piraeus occupy fifth place with 10 points from five games, having scored four and conceded two. While their scoring output has been modest, their underlying defensive metrics are stingy: over their last five matches with data, Olympiakos generated 1.65 expected goals per game and conceded just 0.60. At Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium in league play, they have one win and one defeat from two matches, scoring once and conceding once.

Jota Silva represents their primary threat with two goals across all competitions this season. The home side must manage three injury absences of their own, with Ayoub El Kaabi, Leon Bailey, and Yusuf Yazıcı all unavailable for selection.

Olympiakos won both previous meetings in 2026 to nil

Recent head-to-head history favours Olympiakos, who won both meetings between the clubs earlier in 2026 without conceding a goal. Olympiakos recorded a 1-0 victory on 13 May 2026 following a 2-0 away win on 19 April 2026. Panathinaikos last won the fixture on 8 February 2026 with a 1-0 scoreline.

Our model leans narrowly towards an Olympiakos Piraeus win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards an Olympiakos Piraeus win. The call reflects Olympiakos limiting opponents to 0.60 expected goals per game and winning the last two head-to-head fixtures to nil, balanced against Panathinaikos's perfect start and four goals from Cyriel Dessers.