Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos: Both Winless in Five
Published
Asteras Tripolis meet Atromitos in Super League 1 on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium in Tripoli, with both sides seeking their first victory of the league season. Each club enters the fixture on two points through five matches, separated only by goal difference near the bottom of the table.
Two points each across five league fixtures
Asteras Tripolis sit 12th in the 14-team table having drawn two and lost three, scoring four goals and conceding nine. Their home record in the competition stands at zero wins, one draw, and two defeats from three games, with one goal scored and four conceded. However, they stopped a three-match losing streak with consecutive draws, holding AEK Athens FC 1-1 on 13 September 2026 before drawing 2-2 away at OFI on 20 September 2026. Top scorer Federico Macheda has scored two goals across all competitions. In their last five matches with chance data, Asteras Tripolis averaged 1.03 expected goals created and 1.32 allowed per match.
Atromitos occupy 11th place with identical points, recording two draws and three defeats with four goals scored and seven conceded. Away from home in Super League 1, they have drawn one and lost one from two outings, scoring once and conceding twice. Their most recent league outing was a 2-1 home defeat against Kifisia on 19 September 2026, following a 1-1 away draw at Iraklis 1908 on 12 September 2026. S. Moutoussamy leads their scoring charts with two goals this season. Over their last five games with chance data, Atromitos have generated 0.87 expected goals a match while conceding an average of 1.56.
Five injuries across the two squads
Both teams must adjust to confirmed absences. Asteras Tripolis are without three players due to injury: Issiaga Sylla, Panagiotis Deligiannidis, and Vasilios Chatziemmanouil. Atromitos travel without Cristopher Núnez and Georgios Tzovaras, who are also sidelined with injuries.
The recent series between the sides shows competitive balance. In their last meeting on 2 May 2026, Asteras Tripolis secured a 4-2 home victory, avenging a 2-1 defeat at Atromitos on 26 April 2026. Prior to that, Atromitos won 2-1 in Tripoli on 21 February 2026, while Asteras Tripolis won 1-0 away on 30 November 2025.
Our model leans narrowly towards an Asteras Tripolis win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards an Asteras Tripolis win for this fixture. The slight edge aligns with underlying chance production, as Asteras Tripolis have generated 1.03 expected goals per game while Atromitos have managed 0.87 and allowed 1.56. Still, the call remains low confidence because neither side has won a league match in 2026/27, and Asteras Tripolis have taken just one point from three home fixtures at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
