Kifisia vs Panetolikos: Visitors Concede Six in Two
Published
Kifisia face Panetolikos in Super League 1 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis in Athens, with the visiting side entering the match after conceding six goals across consecutive defeats.
Panetolikos lose two straight and miss Bassi and Smyrlis
Panetolikos sit sixth in the Super League table with nine points from five matches, but their positive start has slowed. After three consecutive wins—defeating Asteras Tripolis 3-1, Kalamata 2-0, and Levadiakos 2-0—they fell to a 3-0 defeat away at Panathinaikos on 13 September and a 3-1 home loss against PAOK on 20 September.
The underlying numbers highlight their defensive difficulties. Over their last five matches with recorded data, Panetolikos have created 0.90 expected goals per game while allowing 1.67. Squad absences add further complications for the visitors, with injuries ruling out both Amine Bassi and Lampros Smyrlis. Gustav Granath remains their top scorer with two goals in all competitions.
Kifisia unbeaten at home after Atromitos win
Kifisia enter Matchweek 6 in ninth position, holding five points from five matches with a goal difference of minus three. They picked up their first victory of the league campaign on 19 September, winning 2-1 away at Atromitos following a 0-0 draw against Levadiakos on 13 September. Their earlier results include a 3-1 defeat at Panathinaikos, a 2-0 loss at OFI, and a 1-1 draw with AEK Athens FC on 30 August.
At Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Kifisia have not lost in league play this season, recording two draws with one goal scored and one conceded. Their expected goals profile is even, creating 1.08 expected goals per match and allowing 1.08 across their last five games. Jorge Pombo leads their scoring chart with two goals this season.
Recent head-to-head meetings also lean toward the home team. Kifisia took a 1-0 victory at Panetolikos on 2 May 2026, six days after the sides played out a 0-0 draw on 26 April 2026.
Our model expects a Kifisia win
Our forecasting model expects a Kifisia win, assigning medium confidence to that outcome. The projection reflects Panetolikos conceding six goals across their last two outings alongside an average concession of 1.67 expected goals per game. Kifisia arrive without reported injury absences and maintain an unbeaten home record this season, having also kept clean sheets in their last two meetings with Panetolikos.
