Ukraine vs Northern Ireland

Ukraine face Northern Ireland in UEFA Nations League B Matchday 3 on Friday, 2 October 2026, at CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského in Trnava. Both teams enter the fixture undefeated and level at the top of League B Group 2 with four points each.

Identical records at the top of Group B2

Ukraine sit first in Group 2 with four points from their opening two fixtures, having scored one goal and conceded none. They started the campaign on 25 September 2026 with a 1-0 away win against Hungary before recording a 0-0 draw away to Georgia on 28 September 2026.

Northern Ireland sit second with an identical record of four points, one goal scored, and zero conceded in two games. They opened Group 2 on 25 September 2026 with a 1-0 away win against Georgia, where Shea Charles scored after Pierce Charles saved a Khvicha Kvaratskhelia penalty. On 28 September 2026, they drew 0-0 at home against Hungary. In their only away fixture in this competition so far, Northern Ireland took all three points with that 1-0 victory against Georgia.

Neither defence has conceded across 180 minutes

Both sides arrive in Trnava with unbreached defences. Across four combined matches in the group, neither Ukraine nor Northern Ireland have allowed an opponent to score. Ukraine kept clean sheets against Hungary and Georgia. Northern Ireland matched that record with clean sheets against Georgia and Hungary.

With both teams scoring exactly once across their two fixtures, the group standings reflect two squads that give away very little in front of their own net.

Our model expects a Ukraine win

Our forecasting model expects a Ukraine win, giving medium confidence to that outcome.

Ukraine come into the fixture at CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského with four points collected from two road matches. Northern Ireland hold an identical tally of four points and a flawless defensive sheet, having also won their sole away match in the section.