Poland vs Romania

Poland face Romania in League B Matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on Friday, 2 October 2026, at PGE Narodowy in Warsaw, with the visitors sitting bottom of Group 4 after conceding six goals in two consecutive defeats.

Romania concede six across two consecutive defeats

Romania arrive in Warsaw fourth of four in League B - Group 4 without a point. Their campaign began on 25 September 2026 with a 1-2 away defeat at Sweden, followed three days later by a 2-4 loss at home to Bosnia & Herzegovina on 28 September 2026. While they have found the net in both matches, scoring three goals overall, their defence has surrendered six, leaving them with a goal difference of -3. Their away record in this competition shows one loss from one game, with one goal scored and two conceded.

Poland seek first victory after opening two fixtures

Poland sit third of four in League B - Group 4 with one point from two matches. They opened their campaign on 25 September 2026 with a 0-0 draw against Bosnia & Herzegovina at PGE Narodowy. Three days later, on 28 September 2026, they suffered a 1-3 defeat away at Sweden. Across those fixtures, Poland scored once and conceded three times, giving them a goal difference of -2. Their home record in this competition stands at zero wins, one draw, and zero losses from one fixture, having yet to score or concede at PGE Narodowy.

Our model firmly expects a Poland win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Poland win. That call is anchored by Romania's defensive record, with six goals allowed in their opening two group fixtures. Romania lost 1-2 in their only away trip and conceded four times on home soil on 28 September 2026. Although Poland have scored only one goal in the group, their 0-0 result against Bosnia & Herzegovina at PGE Narodowy showed defensive stability at home, while Romania arrive with zero points from two games.