Switzerland vs North Macedonia: Visitors Yet to Score
Published
Switzerland face North Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 6 October 2026, at Swissporarena in Luzern. The Swiss sit top of League B Group 1 with nine points from three matches, having defeated North Macedonia 3-0 in the reverse fixture ten days earlier.
Switzerland sit top with eight goals scored
Switzerland lead their group with three victories from three matches and a plus-seven goal difference. They opened Group 1 with that 3-0 away win against North Macedonia on 26 September, followed by a 3-0 victory away to Scotland on 29 September and a 2-1 home victory over Slovenia on 3 October. Dan Ndoye leads their scoring charts this season with three goals in all competitions. Over their last five games with chance data, Switzerland created 1.08 expected goals per game while allowing 0.56.
North Macedonia scoreless after three defeats
North Macedonia arrive in Luzern fourth in the group with zero points and a minus-seven goal difference. They have conceded seven times across three fixtures without scoring. After the 3-0 defeat by Switzerland, they lost 2-0 away to Slovenia on 29 September and 2-0 at home to Scotland on 3 October. Midfielder Jani Atanasov will miss the match through suspension. Across their three matches with chance data, North Macedonia produced 0.34 expected goals per game and conceded 2.31.
Our model firmly expects a Switzerland win
Our model firmly expects a Switzerland win. The home side have conceded just one goal across 270 minutes of Nations League football and hold a perfect record in the section. North Macedonia's lack of goals, an expected goals against average exceeding two per match, and the suspension of Atanasov reinforce that position.

