Gremio vs Internacional

Gremio host Internacional in Serie A on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Arena do Grêmio in Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, with the two sides separated by a single point near the bottom of the table. Gremio enter the fixture without a victory in their last five league matches.

Gremio winless in five while Internacional edge ahead

Gremio sit 18th in Serie A with 30 points from 29 games after a 1-1 draw away at Remo on 7 October 2026 and a 0-0 home draw against Palmeiras on 20 September 2026. Prior to those draws, they suffered three consecutive defeats: 2-3 away at Botafogo on 16 September, 1-2 at home to Vasco da Gama on 12 September, and 0-1 away at Vitoria on 7 September. Over their last five matches with chance data, Gremio generated 1.06 expected goals and conceded 1.59 per match.

Internacional occupy 17th place with 31 points from 29 fixtures. They defeated Corinthians 2-1 on 7 October 2026, following a 0-1 loss away at Sao Paulo on 20 September and a 2-1 victory away at Chapecoense on 12 September. In their last five matches with chance data, Internacional created 0.88 expected goals and allowed 1.47 per match. Away from home in Serie A, they have recorded three wins, five draws, and six defeats from 14 outings.

Five absentees for each side

Both squads enter the contest missing multiple regular contributors. Gremio must adjust without suspended midfielder Dodi, alongside injured players Diego Caito, Jovane Cabral, Marlon, and Matheus Nascimento. Top scorer Carlos Vinícius, who has scored 10 goals in all competitions this season, remains available to lead their attack. At Arena do Grêmio, the home side has compiled seven wins, four draws, and three defeats in 14 league fixtures, scoring 22 goals and conceding 16.

Internacional will travel without five players due to injury: goalkeeper Sergio Rochet, defender Guillermo Maripán, Antonio Sanabria, Benjamin Arhin, and Kayky. Attacking duties fall on top scorer Johan Carbonero, who has registered seven goals in all competitions this season.

Our model leans narrowly towards an Internacional win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards an Internacional win. While Gremio hold a reliable home record with seven wins from 14 matches at Arena do Grêmio, they have taken two points from their last five league fixtures. Internacional have secured two wins in their last three outings, including a 2-1 away victory at Chapecoense. Recent history between the clubs remains tightly balanced, featuring a 0-0 draw on 11 April 2026 and a 3-2 Gremio away win on 21 September 2025.