Remo vs Gremio

Remo meet Gremio in Serie A on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at Estadio Evandro Almeida in Belem, with the visitors traveling north without an away victory across 14 league trips this season.

Gremio carry a fourteen-match away drought into Belem

Gremio sit 17th in the table on 29 points from 28 matches, but their away form shows zero wins, four draws, and ten defeats in 14 league fixtures on the road. In those 14 matches outside their own ground, they have scored eight goals while conceding 22. Their last away fixture was a 3-2 loss at Botafogo on 16 September 2026, which followed a 1-0 defeat at Vitoria on 7 September 2026.

Underlying numbers mirror those away struggles. Over their last five games with chance data, Gremio produced 0.67 expected goals per match and allowed 1.89. They enter this fixture without suspended duo Erick Noriega and Gustavo Martins, alongside the injured Jovane Cabral. Diego Caito, Dodi, and Marlon all carry injury doubts ahead of kickoff, leaving Carlos Vinícius, who has 10 goals in all competitions, to shoulder the attacking responsibility.

Remo face seven absences after five straight defeats

Remo sit 19th with 23 points from 28 matches, having conceded 47 goals in Serie A this season. They have lost five consecutive league matches, most recently falling 2-1 at home to Santos on 19 September 2026 and 2-1 away to Bahia on 14 September 2026. At Estadio Evandro Almeida, Remo have won three, drawn five, and lost six of their 14 Serie A matches.

Personnel issues complicate Remo's evening. Seven players are unavailable: Edson Fernando, Poveda, and Zé Welison serve suspensions, while João Lucas, Matheus Felipe, Mayk, and top scorer Jája remain sidelined by injury. Jája leads the club with seven goals this season across all competitions. Even with those absences, Remo generated 1.12 expected goals per game over their last five matches with chance data, while allowing 1.45.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Remo win

Our model leans narrowly towards a Remo win in this encounter. Gremio's return of four points from a possible 42 on the road, combined with generating only 0.67 expected goals per game recently, balances against Remo's five-game losing sequence. The previous league meeting between the sides resulted in a 0-0 draw on 5 April 2026.