Palmeiras vs Corinthians: Visitors on Five Losses

PalmeirasPAL

Alexander Barboza 16'
Agustín Giay 45+1', 51'
Bidu 46' (og)

Serie A

4–1

Full Time

HT 2–0

Allianz Parque

São Paulo, São Paulo

CorinthiansCOR

Gustavo Henrique 90+1'

AI ForecastsGraded

Palmeiras are second in the table and have lost once at the Allianz Parque all season, built on a meanest-in-the-league style defence and a front line that has been creating roughly twice the quality of chances they concede. Corinthians arrive on a six-match losing run, shorn of…

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Match Stats

Top Stats

2.65xG0.71

55%Possession45%

Palmeiras vs Corinthians: Visitors on Five Losses

Published Sun 11 Oct

Palmeiras host Corinthians in Serie A on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Allianz Parque in São Paulo, São Paulo, with the visitors arriving on a five-match losing run.

Corinthians arrive on five consecutive Serie A defeats

Corinthians sit 16th in the table with 32 points from 29 fixtures after losing five straight league games. Their slide continued with a 1-2 defeat at Internacional on 7 October 2026, preceded by a 1-3 home loss to Fluminense and a 1-2 loss at Flamengo. Across their last five matches with chance data, Corinthians have conceded an average of 1.80 expected goals while generating 1.65. On the road in this competition, they have won three, drawn five, and lost six of 14 fixtures, scoring 15 and conceding 18.

Five absences compound selection issues for Corinthians

Squad depth is strained for the away side, with Kaio and Rodrigo Garro missing through suspension. Kayke and Zakaria Labyad are ruled out with injury, while André Ramalho is doubtful due to an injury problem. André Luiz remains their primary threat with four goals this season in all competitions, but Corinthians have managed only 30 league goals across 29 rounds.

Palmeiras concede just once in five league matches

Palmeiras enter Matchweek 30 in second place with 60 points from 29 games and a goal difference of +27. They defeated Bahia 1-0 on 9 October 2026 following a 0-0 draw at Gremio and a 2-0 victory over Sao Paulo, meaning they have conceded just one goal across their last five matches. At Allianz Parque in Serie A, Palmeiras have registered 10 wins, three draws, and one loss from 14 games, scoring 24 times and conceding nine. Their underlying numbers show 1.90 expected goals created against 0.92 allowed per game over their last five matches with chance data. Top scorer José Manuel López leads their attack with nine goals in all competitions, though Jefté and Paulinho are sidelined through injury.

Our model firmly expects a Palmeiras win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Palmeiras win. The call reflects the gap between Palmeiras, who have taken 33 points from 14 home league games, and a Corinthians team that has lost five consecutive matches. While recent meetings include a 0-0 draw on 12 April 2026 and a 1-1 draw on 31 August 2025, Palmeiras took 2-0 victories in April 2025 and July 2024, and Corinthians enter this match missing both Rodrigo Garro and Kaio.

Match Stats