Palmeiras vs Bahia: Abel Ferreira Suspended for Hosts

PalmeirasPAL

José López 7'

Serie A

1–0

Full Time

HT 1–0

Allianz Parque

São Paulo, São Paulo

BahiaBAH

AI ForecastsGraded

Palmeiras have turned the Allianz Parque into a fortress this season, losing only once and conceding a miserly 0.7 goals per home game, yet a run of three draws in four outings has slowed their title charge. Bahia arrive as the division's surprise package, sitting sixth and…

Match ResultHome Win61%

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Match Stats

Top Stats

1.79xG0.52

41%Possession59%

26 (11)Shots (on target)10 (1)

5Big Chances Created0

Attacking Play

2.92xG on Target0.01

Possession & Passing

363 · 83%Passes (accuracy)543 · 90%

7Corners3

Duels & Pressing

57Duels Won34

16 (62%)Aerial Duels Won10 (38%)

Defending & Discipline

1Saves10

9Fouls12

Palmeiras vs Bahia: Abel Ferreira Suspended for Hosts

Published Thu 8 Oct

Palmeiras face Bahia in Serie A on Thursday 9 October 2026 at Allianz Parque in São Paulo, São Paulo, where the home side have suffered only one league defeat all season.

Abel Ferreira, Jefté and Paulinho miss out for Palmeiras

Abel Ferreira serves a suspension, leaving Palmeiras without him on the touchline, while Jefté and Paulinho are also ruled out through injury. The home side enter Matchweek 29 sitting second in Serie A with 57 points from 28 games, having scored 47 goals and conceded 21. At Allianz Parque, Palmeiras have won nine of their 13 league fixtures, drawing three and losing once while scoring 23 times and conceding nine. José Manuel López leads their attack with eight goals across all competitions this season. Over their last five matches with chance data, they generated 1.85 expected goals per game while allowing 1.15.

Luciano Juba leads Bahia after four wins in five

Bahia sit sixth in Serie A on 46 points from 28 matches, having scored 43 goals and conceded 35. Before a 2-1 defeat at Atletico Paranaense on 20 September 2026, they had won four straight league fixtures, including a 3-2 victory away at RB Bragantino and a 2-0 success at Vitoria. Top scorer Luciano Juba has recorded nine goals in all competitions this season, leading an attack that created 2.28 expected goals per game across their last five recorded fixtures while allowing 0.90. The away side must manage without the injured Léo Vieira, while Michel Araújo is doubtful due to injury.

Recent head-to-head fixtures split across five games

Recent encounters between the two sides have produced balanced results. Palmeiras won the reverse fixture 2-1 away at Bahia on 5 April 2026, repeating their 2-1 away result from 20 November 2024. In the 2025 campaign, Bahia earned two 1-0 victories over Palmeiras, winning at home on 28 September and away on 27 April. Palmeiras also took three points with a 2-0 home victory on 7 July 2024.

Our model firmly expects a Palmeiras win

Our model firmly expects a Palmeiras win. Palmeiras have taken 30 points from 13 matches at Allianz Parque in Serie A, conceding just nine goals across those home fixtures. While Bahia arrive having won six times on their travels and averaging 2.28 expected goals over their last five matches, Palmeiras's defensive record of 21 goals conceded across 28 league matches supports the model's stance.

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