De Graafschap vs Den Bosch: Zero Home and Away Points
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De Graafschap face Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie on Sunday 27 September 2026 at Stadion De Vijverberg in Doetinchem, with both teams searching for their first league points at home and on the road respectively.
Both teams hold three defeats in their home and away splits
De Graafschap sit 20th in the table with four points from seven games and a goal difference of -12. At Stadion De Vijverberg, the hosts have lost all three league fixtures, conceding 11 goals and scoring four. Den Bosch have mirrored that record on their travels, sitting 16th with seven points while losing all three away matches, scoring three and conceding eight.
Den Bosch fell 2-0 at FC Volendam on 13 September and 3-1 at Jong PSV U21 on 7 September. De Graafschap's home record includes a 2-1 defeat to NAC Breda on 20 September and a 4-1 loss against Almere City FC on 29 August.
Den Bosch generate chances while De Graafschap control the fixture history
Despite their away struggles, Den Bosch create 2.40 expected goals per game across their last four matches with chance data, while allowing 1.74. Forward Sebastian Karlsson Grach leads their attack with four goals in all competitions, matching De Graafschap forward Julian Kania, who also has four goals this season. De Graafschap have generated 1.21 expected goals per match while conceding 2.07 over their last five outings.
The head-to-head record belongs to De Graafschap in recent seasons. De Graafschap are unbeaten in the last five meetings between the sides, recording three wins and two draws. The last clash ended in a 1-1 draw on 26 January 2026, following a 2-1 De Graafschap victory on 31 October 2025 and a 1-0 home win on 7 February 2025.
Our model expects a De Graafschap win
Our forecasting model expects a De Graafschap win with medium confidence. The call aligns with the recent head-to-head record, where Den Bosch have failed to win any of the last five meetings, alongside Den Bosch losing all three away fixtures this season. However, De Graafschap have conceded 20 goals in seven league fixtures, and Den Bosch enter having secured a 2-1 home victory against Helmond Sport on 18 September.
